Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: Rate Field, Chicago
Game Overview
The New York Yankees visit the Chicago White Sox for a late August MLB matchup. The Yankees are strong favorites based on recent form and overall season performance. The White Sox are struggling this season and come off heavy losses, while the Yankees have a solid away record and a winning streak going.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees hold a 73-60 record, including a 32-32 away mark with a current 4-game winning streak. The White Sox are 48-85 overall, with a 29-39 home record and recent back-to-back losses against weaker opponents.
- Recent meetings favor the Yankees, with consistent wins particularly when they are favorites. The White Sox have struggled in these matchups, especially as underdogs with odds similar or longer than +164.
- The White Sox have key injuries including OF Robert on the IL and M. Castro (knee). The Yankees have no reported significant injury concerns impacting their lineup or pitching staff.
- No adverse weather expected at Rate Field. The game starts late in the Chicago timezone, which does not notably affect either team. Yankees momentum and better pitching depth provide an external edge.
- Yankees aim to consolidate playoff positioning and extend their winning streak. White Sox, out of contention, have limited motivation but will try to avoid further losing streaks.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago +164 / New York -196 | New York Yankees | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Chicago +1.5 +106 / New York -1.5 -128 | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 9 -102 / Under 9 -120 | Under 9 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go under 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – White Sox 2