Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 13, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal, QC
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes are favored to win against the Ottawa Redblacks due to their strong performance this season. Montreal has a significant edge in head-to-head matchups and has motivational factors like competing for a division title.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal Alouettes have a solid record of 8-7, while Ottawa Redblacks are at 4-11. Montreal's home performance is crucial, with an average of 20.25 points scored per game.
- Montreal has covered the spread in their last six games against Ottawa, and Davis Alexander is 9-0 as a starter since joining the Als in 2022.
- Ottawa Redblacks have shut down QB Dru Brown, and Dustin Crum will start in his place, which could affect their performance.
- Montreal plays at home, which provides them with a significant advantage in terms of fan support and familiarity with the field.
- Montreal is motivated to win to improve their division standing, while Ottawa is coming off a loss and may lack the same level of motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -700 for Montreal, +450 for Ottawa | Montreal Alouettes to win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Montreal -13.5 (-115), Ottawa +13.5 (-115) | Montreal Alouettes to cover | โ โ โ โ โ 80% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 (-115), Under 51.5 (-115) | Under 51.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ottawa Redblacks 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Alouettes are expected to win comfortably, possibly by more than 14 points, given their recent form and Ottawa's struggles.
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 38, Ottawa Redblacks 20