Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Inter Milan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
This highly anticipated Serie A match pits AS Roma against Inter Milan at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma, currently ranked second, has had a strong start to the season, while Inter, ranked fourth, is looking to continue their winning streak after a rocky beginning.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma has only one loss so far this season, while Inter has won three consecutive league games. Roma's recent performances under Gian Piero Gasperini have been impressive, but they face a tough test against Inter.
- Historically, Inter leads with 15 wins, compared to Roma's 11, and there have been 11 draws. This balance suggests a competitive match.
- Roma will be without Edoardo Bove and Leon Bailey, while Inter is missing Marcus Thuram. These absences could impact the teams' strategies.
- The international break has given both teams time to rest and prepare. Lautaro Martinez's form for Inter could be crucial in determining the outcome.
- Both teams have strong motivations, with Roma seeking to maintain their position near the top and Inter aiming to close the gap.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma: 229, Inter Milan: 134, Draw: 213 | AS Roma to win | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | AS Roma: 25 -118, Inter Milan: -0.25 -102 | AS Roma to cover | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -119, Under: 2.25 -101 | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma 48% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given recent performances and head-to-head statistics, the match is expected to be closely contested. However, Roma's strong start and home advantage might give them a slight edge.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of AS Roma