Match Analysis: Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Euroborg Stadium, Groningen, Netherlands
Game Overview
Groningen hosts Heracles Almelo in an Eredivisie clash where both teams have struggled recently. Groningen ranks 11th and Heracles 18th, with both sides showing poor recent form and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Groningen lost 4 of their last 6 Eredivisie matches, but perform better at home with 1 home win this season. Heracles has lost 5 of 6 overall and failed to win away. Groningen scores an average 1.7 goals per game versus Heracles' 1.47 and concedes less.
- Historically, Groningen leads the H2H with 30 wins in 60 meetings. Recent showings favor Groningen slightly at home with better win percentages. Matches typically see around 2 goals scored on average.
- No significant injury reports publicly available for either team affecting starting lineups or key players at this time.
- The match is at Groningen's home ground, Euroborg, providing home advantage. Both teams have early season fatigue with low motivation from poor results.
- Groningen is motivated to improve league standing after mid-table stagnation, while Heracles faces relegation pressure and desperately needs points but are underperforming away.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -112, away: 280, draw: 280 | Groningen | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | home: -112, away: -108 | Groningen -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -113, under: -107 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Groningen 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Groningen to win and the match going under 2.5 goals, with Groningen covering a -0.5 spread
Predicted Score: 2-0