Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
Game Overview
The UL Monroe Warhawks are heavy favorites hosting St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, with a dominant home performance history and superior talent levels. St. Francis (PA) struggles offensively and defensively, while UL Monroe combines a strong rushing attack, red zone efficiency, and solid defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- UL Monroe had a 5-7 record last season but posted a solid 4-2 home record and showed strong rushing offense and red zone efficiency. St. Francis (PA) has notable offensive limitations and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Limited recent H2H data; however, historical UL Monroe's home dominance and better overall squad talent clearly favor them.
- No major injuries reported for either side affecting key positions.
- Game at Malone Stadium favors UL Monroe. No adverse weather or travel concerns for the home favorite.
- UL Monroe motivated to start the season strong and cover the large spread at home. St. Francis (PA) underdog status reduces expected morale but may fight to keep the score respectable.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UL Monroe -8000 / St. Francis (PA) +2200 | UL Monroe | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | UL Monroe -24.5 -110 / St. Francis (PA) +24.5 -110 | UL Monroe -24.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 45.5 -110 / Under 45.5 -110 | Under 45.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UL Monroe Warhawks -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UL Monroe to win straight up and cover the -24.5 spread, with the total scoring staying under 45.5 points.
Predicted Score: UL Monroe 31 – St. Francis (PA) 10
