Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-27
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the third game of their four-game series. Both teams split the season series 2-2 so far, with starting pitchers Quinn Priester (Brewers) and Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks) shaping the matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers boast an 83-50 record and have won 15 straight games with Priester pitching, showing strong recent form. Diamondbacks hold a 64-69 record, struggling lately and with Nelson's road ERA at 5.01, indicating pitching vulnerability.
- Both teams are tied 2-2 in the season series. Brewers won the first game of this series 7-5. Priester has been dominant against the Diamondbacks lately, while Nelson has limited experience pitching against Milwaukee.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key players for either side at this time.
- The game is played outdoors at American Family Field with usual home-field support favoring the Brewers. No adverse weather or unusual external events reported.
- Brewers motivated to maintain home dominance and improve season standings; Diamondbacks seeking to recover form and gain momentum in upcoming matches against tougher opponents.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee -142, Arizona +120 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Milwaukee -1.5 +138, Arizona +1.5 -170 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6, Arizona Diamondbacks 4