Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Loftus Road Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
Queens Park Rangers (QPR) will host Millwall in the EFL Championship at Loftus Road Stadium. QPR is currently positioned 6th in the Championship table, while Millwall is 8th, making this a competitive mid-table clash. Both teams have shown solid recent form with QPR gaining momentum through a series of wins and draws, while Millwall has displayed a mix of solid wins and some recent heavy losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- QPR has a strong home performance record including recent wins against Bristol City and Stoke, showcasing both offensive and defensive capabilities. Millwall has had impressive moments, notably a 3-0 home win over West Brom but also suffered a heavy 0-4 loss to Coventry, indicating some inconsistency. Defensively, both sides have conceded goals but remain competitive in midfield battles.
- Recent head-to-head fixtures suggest a competitive but tight matchup, with Millwall winning the last encounter 2-1 earlier in 2025. Historically, matches between these teams are closely contested, often settled by narrow margins or draws.
- No specific injury updates are available from current data, but typical squad rotations and minor injuries may affect player availability. No major absences have been reported thus far.
- The match is played at Loftus Road, giving QPR home advantage. Weather or other environmental factors are not reported as significant. Fan support and stadium atmosphere may favor the home side.
- Both teams sit in the upper-mid tier of the Championship table and are motivated to secure points to push into higher positions. QPR may have slight extra motivation at home to consolidate a playoff position, while Millwall aims to disrupt and gain ground.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Millwall: 180, Queens Park Rangers: 158, Draw: 195 | Queens Park Rangers to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Millwall: 0 100, Queens Park Rangers: 0 -120 | Queens Park Rangers 0 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Queens Park Rangers 44% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given home advantage, current form, and historical competitiveness, Queens Park Rangers are predicted to edge a narrow victory, but a draw remains a plausible outcome with an upset win for Millwall possible.
Predicted Score: Queens Park Rangers 2 – 1 Millwall