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Melbourne Storm vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm hosts Sydney Roosters in a pivotal NRL matchup at their home ground. Both teams have a competitive history, but Storm hold a notable home advantage and recent form edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have won 33 of 52 meetings against Sydney Roosters historically, showing dominance. Recently, Storm defeated Roosters 34-30 in July 2025, indicating good form. Both teams have been scoring near the predicted total points range.
  • Storm lead overall H2H with 33 wins to Roosters' 19. Recent clashes are closely contested but favor Melbourne at home.
  • No significant injury reports for either side that would impact starting key players, maintaining a balanced competition.
  • Melbourne home field advantage is significant with a large supportive crowd expected. Weather conditions forecast are neutral, unlikely to affect gameplay.
  • Melbourne Storm is motivated to consolidate top ladder position; Roosters aiming to break into finals contention, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -152, Sydney Roosters: 132, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm moneyline ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Melbourne Storm -2.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +2.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Melbourne Storm moneyline, Melbourne covering the spread, and total points going over 44.5 for best expected value based on current odds and matchup dynamics.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Sydney Roosters 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-29 Time: 10:00 AM UTC Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia Game Overview Melbourne Storm hosts Sydney Roosters in a pivotal NRL matchup at their home ground. Both teams have a competitive history, but Storm hold a notable home advantage and recent form […]

August 29, 2025 Melbourne Storm Rugbyleague Sydney Roosters

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Dolphins vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the Gold Coast Titans in an NRL Round 26 matchup at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams have struggled recently, with the Dolphins on a three-game losing streak and the Titans on four consecutive losses. The Dolphins still hold a historical advantage in this derby, with 4 wins in 5 encounters. The game is crucial for the Dolphins to keep finals hopes alive while the Titans fight to avoid the wooden spoon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have lost their last three matches, including a heavy 58-30 loss to Manly, but they have a potent offense led by Jamayne Isaako (246 points) and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (17 tries in last 11 home games). The Titans have conceded 82 points in their last two games at Suncorp and have lost four straight, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Dolphins dominate the recent derby series 4-1. The last meeting was a decisive 36-10 win for Dolphins. Titans winger Phillip Sami has scored four tries vs Dolphins in recent clashes but Titans overall reliability in this matchup is low.
  • No major injury news significantly impacting starting lineups reported. Dolphins hooker Jeremy Marshall-King is set to make his 150th appearance and remains a key attacking threat.
  • Playing at home at Suncorp Stadium grants the Dolphins slight environmental advantage. No severe weather or other external conditions noted that would alter game dynamics significantly.
  • Dolphins have must-win motivation to stay in finals race; Titans motivation centers on escaping last place, potentially affecting defensive focus and risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -190, Titans +158, Draw +2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Dolphins -5.5 -120, Titans +5.5 -110 Dolphins -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 54.5 -115, Under 54.5 -115 Over 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins moneyline win

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – Titans 20


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Sharks clear favourites due to strong recent form and home advantage, while the Knights continue to struggle with a seven-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have won five of their last six games, recently thrashing the Titans 54-22. Newcastle Knights are on a seven-game losing streak and have conceded 176 points in their last four matches.
  • Sharks have dominated recent matchups, winning five of their last six encounters and most recently beating Newcastle 34-14 in April 2025.
  • Cronulla welcome back KL Iro and add Braden Hamlin-Uele to the bench after Cameron McInnes suffered a season-ending injury. Newcastle have no significant changes to their lineup despite poor form.
  • The Sharks benefit from playing at home (Shark Park) with a strong crowd presence. Newcastle face internal turmoil with coach Adam O’Brien reportedly under pressure.
  • Cronulla are motivated to maintain momentum and secure a top-four finish ahead of the finals. Newcastle lack confidence and are under pressure due to their poor form and coaching instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -725 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win straight-up, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 36 – Newcastle Knights 14


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos travel to Queensland Country Bank Stadium to face the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 26 of the NRL season. The Broncos are favored by bookmakers and data models given their stronger form and historical edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos show stronger recent form with an estimated 68% win probability from simulation models, reflecting consistency in attack and defense this season while Cowboys have struggled for consistency at home.
  • Broncos have a positive historical head-to-head advantage over the Cowboys, including a recent 26-16 victory earlier this year, giving psychological confidence and tactical familiarity.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team that would materially affect the outcome.
  • The game being at the Cowboys' home ground adds slight underdog motivation and crowd support, but Broncos are expected to overcome this with superior squad depth.
  • Broncos are motivated to secure finals positioning and maintain momentum while Cowboys seek to upset at home but have less to play for this late in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -197, North Queensland Cowboys: +167, Draw: +2100 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Broncos -4.5 (-120), Cowboys +4.5 (-110) Broncos -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 (-115), Under 50.5 (-115) Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos win moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points will go over 50.5.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – 20 North Queensland Cowboys


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested NRL matchup between the St George Illawarra Dragons and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, both teams evenly matched with minor edges for Manly on defense and recent form. The game is expected to be decided by narrow margins with a balanced moderate scoring style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown inconsistency but Manly's recent form and defensive solidity slightly outmatch the Dragons. Both averages in attack are similar, suggesting a close game.
  • Historically a dead-even matchup with marginal advantages; recent head-to-heads are split with no clear dominance.
  • No major standout injuries reported affecting key positions for either side.
  • Game played at Jubilee Stadium favors the Dragons due to home-ground advantage, but crowd influence may be countered by Manly's resilience.
  • Both teams are fighting for momentum late in the season, adding competitiveness and intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -109, St George -109, Draw +2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly -1.5 +105, St George +1.5 -130 Manly Sea Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win moneyline

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Canberra Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Wests Tigers in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Raiders heavily favored based on recent form and predictive models.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders enter the match with strong recent form and an 81% win probability from advanced simulations, while the Wests Tigers continue to struggle with inconsistent performances in 2025.
  • Historical encounters favor the Raiders with consistent wins, contributing to a dominant psychological edge and better matchup dynamics against the Tigers.
  • No major injuries reported for Canberra, maintaining full-strength squad; Wests Tigers also have no significant injury concerns but possess less depth.
  • Playing at home in Canberra provides a significant advantage including familiar conditions and local crowd support, which historically boosts Raiders' performance.
  • Raiders likely motivated to secure a strong finish to the regular season and secure playoff positioning; Tigers have lower stakes but will aim to frustrate a stronger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread -105 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 Wests Tigers


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face the Parramatta Eels in NRL Round 26 at Go Media Stadium, with the Warriors favored to continue their superior season form against a struggling Eels side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors hold a strong season record of 10-5, with recent form showing some inconsistency (LWWLL), while Parramatta Eels have had a challenging season at 5-10 and uneven recent results (WLLWL). Warriors have a 67% win rate overall compared to the Eels' 33%.
  • Historically, Parramatta leads the H2H with 7 wins to Warriors' 3 in their last 10 encounters, but the current season momentum strongly favors the Warriors, and recent simulations give Warriors a 62% chance to win this match.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting key players for this fixture.
  • Playing at home in Go Media Stadium provides a home-ground advantage to the Warriors, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions.
  • The Warriors are motivated to solidify a top-four finish while the Eels look to avoid missing the playoffs, increasing pressure on Parramatta. Warriors have more confidence from recent positive results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -164, away: 142, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Home -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1264%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1264% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The New Zealand Warriors to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, with the total points going Over 44.5.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Eels 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs are favorites to win against the Penrith Panthers in this late season NRL Round 26 matchup. The Bulldogs have shown stronger recent form and hold home advantage at Stadium Australia, whereas the Panthers have struggled against them historically in similar conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have a higher winning percentage recently and simulation models give them approximately a 69% chance to win this game, reflecting better consistency and form throughout the season.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Bulldogs, including a close 8-6 win in a prior 2025 meeting. Bulldogs generally have edged the Panthers in competitive games this year.
  • No major injury concerns reported that would significantly impact starting lineups; both teams appear close to full strength.
  • Game played at Stadium Australia provides a neutral yet slightly favorable venue for the Bulldogs, with no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Being a late-season round, the Bulldogs have more at stake for finals positioning, while the Panthers seem less motivated due to earlier slips in their season campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -275, away: 215, draw: 2100 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -130, away: 100 Canterbury Bulldogs -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -145, under: 110 Under 38.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 38.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 38.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win on the moneyline and cover the spread; under 38.5 points for total score looks likely given recent defensive form.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 20 – Panthers 12


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Wests Tigers vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Leichhardt Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The match between Wests Tigers and North Queensland Cowboys is projected to be an extremely close contest, with minimal separation in team strengths and a very tight predicted score margin. Both teams show inconsistent form and similar defensive and offensive capabilities, suggesting a low-scoring, tight game decided by small momentum swings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both Wests Tigers and North Queensland Cowboys have struggled for consistent attacking performances but have similar defensive solidity. Recent form shows glimpses of quality but overall inconsistency.
  • The historical data and power rankings show near parity — Tigers ranked 12 and Cowboys 8 — with recent matchups indicating razor-thin margins and balanced outcomes.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would decisively impact key positions or overall team strength.
  • The game is at Leichhardt Oval, a spiritual home for Tigers, providing a slight emotional advantage but not enough to decisively tilt the balance. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are fighting for respectability late in the season, heightening pressure and motivation to perform, which may contribute to a conservative style and careful game management.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers -139, North Queensland Cowboys +120, Draw +2000 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Wests Tigers -2.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys +2.5 -115 Wests Tigers -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to win on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to go under 49.5.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24 – North Queensland Cowboys 21


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Newcastle Knights vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter this Round 25 NRL matchup as strong favourites against the Newcastle Knights, showing superior recent form, team structure, and attacking capabilities. The Knights struggle defensively and will find it hard to contain the Broncos' well-organized offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos are in peak form with a robust defense and high-scoring attack, averaging 13 points more per game than the Knights. The Knights have leaked points consistently and show poor recent form.
  • Broncos have dominated recent clashes, holding a solid advantage in the power rankings (Broncos 4 vs Knights 12) and winning the majority of head-to-head meetings this season.
  • No significant injury reports altering major squads; Broncos maintain full strength while the Knights have minor absences but nothing impacting their already weakened setup.
  • Match is played at McDonald Jones Stadium, traditionally a Knights fortress, but this advantage is minimal against the Broncos’ form and class this season.
  • Broncos motivated to maintain top positioning late in the season, while Knights fight to salvage pride but with less incentive as playoffs odds diminish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -335, Newcastle Knights: +265, Draw: +2300 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -12.5: +105, Newcastle Knights +12.5: -135 Broncos -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos moneyline win, cover -12.5 spread, under 45.5 total points

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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