Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-26
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field
Game Overview
Milwaukee Brewers (82-50) host Arizona Diamondbacks (64-68) in a late-season MLB matchup with Brewers as favorites at home. Brewers have solid recent form and superior overall record, while Diamondbacks seek rebound after recent loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers have strong season record and recent form, coming off a win against Diamondbacks. Arizona Diamondbacks have struggled with a losing record and are coming off a defeat.
- Recent head-to-head favors Milwaukee with a win in the previous game of the series. Historically, Brewers have had better outcomes against Diamondbacks.
- No major injuries reported that would significantly impact starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team.
- Game played at Brewers' home park, American Family Field, providing home advantage. Pitching matchup favors Brewers, with Misiorowski (4-2, 4.19 ERA) against Diamondbacksβ Pfaadt (12-8, 4.95 ERA).
- Brewers motivated to strengthen playoff positioning with quality home wins. Diamondbacks motivated to remain competitive but have less incentive with a sub-.500 record and upcoming road series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: -152, Arizona Diamondbacks: +128 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5): +138, Arizona Diamondbacks (+1.5): -166 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8: -122, Under 8: +100 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game total to go over 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3