Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-26
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York
Game Overview
The New York Mets (70-61) host the Philadelphia Phillies (76-55) in a crucial NL East matchup. The Mets are coming off a dominant 13-3 win in the series opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have been solid at home with a 42-24 record, while the Phillies are 34-33 on the road. The Mets' offense has been performing well, scoring 606 runs this season.
- The Mets have an unbeaten record against the Phillies at home this season and are looking to sweep the series.
- No significant injuries reported for this matchup.
- Weather conditions are not mentioned as a factor.
- The Mets are highly motivated to close the gap in the NL East standings, while the Phillies aim to maintain their lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NYM: -108, PHI: -108 | New York Mets | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | NYM +1.5: -184, PHI -1.5: +152 | New York Mets +1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -102, Under 8.5: -120 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New York Mets to win, over 8.5 runs, and the Mets to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: Mets 5, Phillies 4