Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York
Game Overview
The Boston Red Sox (71-59) visit the New York Yankees (69-60) in a heated AL East matchup. The Red Sox are looking to complete a four-game sweep over the Yankees. The Yankees are slight favorites at home with Carlos Rodon starting, while Dustin May pitches for Boston in his first career start against the Yankees.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Red Sox have performed slightly better this season and have outplayed the Yankees in this series so far with a commanding 12-1 win Saturday. Boston's .253 team batting average and 3.69 ERA staff are solid. Yankees have underperformed recently, evident in a cold bat and recent losses. Rodon has a solid 13-7 record but struggles against Boston with a 5.74 ERA in last 5 starts versus them.
- Red Sox have had the upper hand this season and in this series, winning 3 straight against the Yankees. Historically, Rodon has struggled against Boston despite good overall stats. Boston looks to sweep the home team.
- No major injuries reported impacting starters or key players for either team, with both sides fielding near full strength.
- Game is at Yankee Stadium where the Yankees have home advantage, but Boston has momentum and confidence after recent big wins at the venue. Weather and other external factors are normal with no weather disruptions expected.
- Boston is highly motivated to complete a season sweep against their division rivals, enhancing their playoff positioning. Yankees are motivated but struggling to regain momentum and prove home dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox +142 / New York Yankees -168 | Boston Red Sox | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox +1.5 -137 / New York Yankees -1.5 +114 | Boston Red Sox +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115 / Under 8.5 -105 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox 50% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – New York Yankees 3