Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
The New York Mets visit the Atlanta Braves for the final game of a three-game series, with the Mets leading the series 2-0 and strongly motivated for playoff positioning.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets hold a 69-60 record with solid pitching (3.82 ERA) and recent form showing 5 wins in last 7 games. The Braves have a 58-71 record, struggling especially at home (32-33) and have lost the last two games heavily.
- Mets have won 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matchups, including the first two games of this series in Atlanta by a combined 21-9 score.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team in this matchup.
- Game at Braves' home park, but Braves' starting pitcher Bryce Elder has a very high home ERA (7.43) and poor recent form. Mets starting pitcher David Peterson has a better season ERA (3.18) but a less dominant head-to-head record.
- Mets are pushing for playoff positioning and currently leading the series; Braves need a win to stay competitive but have momentum against them due to recent blowouts and poor pitching performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mets -130, Braves +110 | Mets | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Braves +1.5 -152, Mets -1.5 +126 | Braves +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 -110, Under 9 -110 | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Mets moneyline
Predicted Score: Mets 5 – Braves 3