Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Colorado Buffaloes Home Stadium
Game Overview
The Colorado Buffaloes host the Iowa State Cyclones in a pivotal Week 7 American college football matchup. Both teams have shown solid offensive and defensive capabilities, with Iowa State demonstrating a slightly stronger offense and Colorado balancing offense and defense effectively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State averages 31.6 points per game on offense and allows 14.2 points on defense, showing offensive strength and stout defense. Colorado averages 25.8 points on offense while allowing 22.8 points defensively, indicating a less prolific offense but tighter defense compared to Iowa State.
- Recent matchups favor Iowa State, who have been favored in odds and shown consistent competitive edge over Colorado. Historically, the Cyclones have leveraged their offensive strengths against the Buffaloesโ defense successfully.
- No major injury updates indicating key player absences have been reported for either team as of October 9, 2025, ensuring both teams are near full strength.
- The game is played at Colorado's home stadium, which may provide a home-field advantage. Weather and other external disruptions are not reported as impacting the game.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in the conference. Iowa State is ranked (14), potentially increasing their eagerness to secure a win on the road, while Colorado aims to defend home turf and upset the favored Cyclones.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes: +114, Iowa State Cyclones: -134 | Iowa State Cyclones | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Spread | Colorado Buffaloes: 2.5 (-105), Iowa State Cyclones: -2.5 (-115) | Iowa State Cyclones -2.5 | โ โ โ โโ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 (-110), Under: 51.5 (-110) | Over 51.5 | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 5% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State Cyclones are favored to win with a moderate confidence margin due to their superior offensive metrics and defensive efficiency, despite playing away.
Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 28 – Colorado Buffaloes 24