Match Analysis: Junaid Bostan vs Bilal Fawaz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, GB
Game Overview
Junaid Bostan and Bilal Fawaz meet in a rematch for the vacant English super welterweight title, following their highly competitive first bout in January that ended in a controversial split draw. The first fight was a back-and-forth war: Bostan started sharply with precise combinations, while Fawaz's relentless pressure and punishing body work dragged the fight into deep waters. The split decision left the title vacant and fans eager for a rematch to settle the rivalry[1][2]. This fight is expected to be tightly contested, with both boxers highly motivated to claim the English title and establish dominance in their division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bostan is the more technical boxer, displaying cleaner combinations and sharper boxing early in bouts. Fawaz, however, excels with aggression, stamina, and body punching, often wearing down opponents in the later rounds. Both are coming off impressive training camps and enter in top physical condition[1][2].
- The only previous encounter between these two ended in a split draw. Judges were divided, with one favoring Bostan, one Fawaz, and one scoring the fight even. Head-to-head data suggests neither fighter has a definitive edge, making this a true 50-50 matchup on paper[1][2].
- No public information on injuries for either fighter ahead of the rematch. Both appear healthy based on recent training footage and pre-fight interviews[1][2].
- The fight is on a major Matchroom Boxing card in Sheffield, ensuring a lively crowd and high-stakes atmosphere. DAZN (globally) is the exclusive broadcaster, increasing visibility and pressure[3].
- Both fighters are highly motivated to capture the English title and settle their rivalry. Bostan and Fawaz have exchanged heated words in the build-up, suggesting personal pride and professional legacy are on the line[2][4].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bostan: -255, Fawaz: +192 | Junaid Bostan wins by decision | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -255, Under 8.5: +192 | Over 8.5 rounds | β β β β β 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Junaid Bostan -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect another close, competitive bout. Bostan's technical edge gives him a slight advantage, especially in the early rounds, while Fawaz's pressure and durability make him dangerous as the fight progresses. The fight is likely to go the distance, with a razor-thin margin separating the winner, and a repeat split decision cannot be ruled out.
Predicted Score: Junaid Bostan by split decision (6-4 rounds)
