Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:16 PM UTC
- Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
The New York Mets visit the Atlanta Braves in a late-season MLB matchup where the Mets are slight favorites on the moneyline and run line, facing off against a struggling Braves team at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets hold a better overall season record (68-60) compared to the Braves (58-70). Mets starter Clay Holmes (10-6, 3.64 ERA) faces Braves' Cal Quantrill (4-10, 5.50 ERA), favoring New York. Recent form slightly favors the Mets as well.
- Previous recent matchups show Mets generally having the upper hand, with the Braves favored at home but Mets edging close games. The Braves swept a 3-0 series win on 9/30/2024 but current season trends favor Mets.
- No major injuries reported to key starters for either team affecting expected performance significantly.
- Game played in Truist Park, giving Braves home advantage. Weather expected to be normal with no major external disruptions.
- Mets still pushing for better postseason positioning with a near playoff spot, while Braves are out of contention, potentially lowering their on-field motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets: -126, Atlanta Braves: +108 | New York Mets | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Mets -1.5 +118, Braves +1.5 -142 | New York Mets -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 9 -115, Under 9 -105 | Under 9 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on New York Mets moneyline for a confident outright win, Mets -1.5 run line for stronger confidence, and under 9 total runs expecting a pitching-dominated game.
Predicted Score: Mets 5, Braves 3