Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Movistar Arena
Game Overview
The EuroLeague match between Real Madrid and ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne is expected to be a competitive contest, with Real Madrid being the strong favorite due to their past performances against ASVEL. Real Madrid has a dominant head-to-head record, winning 11 out of 12 previous matches against ASVEL, including their last encounter on March 20, 2025, with an 81-70 victory.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Madrid has started the season with a 50% success rate, winning one and losing one of their two games. They average 78.5 points per game and concede 75.5. ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne has won three out of four games this season and comes off a 102-point performance against Baskonia.
- Real Madrid has a strong historical advantage over ASVEL, with 11 wins out of 12 encounters. Their average score in home games is 89 points against ASVEL's 74.25.
- No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
- The game is held at Real Madrid's home, which could enhance their performance.
- Both teams are highly motivated, but Real Madrid's past success against ASVEL might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Madrid: -900, ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne: 600 | Real Madrid to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Real Madrid -12 -115, ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne +12 -105 | ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne +12 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 168 -108, Under: 168 -112 | Over 168 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Madrid -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 168 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 168 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Madrid is likely to win, but ASVEL might keep the score close given their recent form.
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 88, ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne 76