Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Game Overview
Charlotte FC and New York Red Bulls face off in a critical MLS regular season match with Charlotte FC slightly favored at home, coming off an unbeaten run of seven league matches. New York holds a historical advantage in H2H, but has mixed recent form. Key goalkeepers and defensive resources set a tight defensive tone.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC boasts a strong home record (10-2-1) and is unbeaten in their last seven matches, showing solid defensive organization with 9 clean sheets and a goals conceded rate of 1.44 per 90 minutes. New York Red Bulls have a more inconsistent record (11-10-6) but are coming off a 1-0 win against Philadelphia and hold a slight edge in recent overall form.
- In eight MLS regular-season meetings, New York leads with a 3-1-3 record, holding a narrow advantage but Charlotte has been competitive overall.
- No critical injuries reported for goalkeepers with Kristijan Kahlina starting for Charlotte and Carlos Coronel for New York, both experienced and reliable. No major absences impacting team strength noted.
- Match played at Charlotte's Bank of America Stadium gives them home advantage. No weather or travel disruptions noted.
- Charlotte pushes to maintain playoff positioning with 44 points, motivated to keep unbeaten streak intact at home; New York is seeking to close the gap and improve their inconsistent form on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -119, away: 275, draw: 300 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5: -123, New York Red Bulls +50: -106 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | over 2.5: -172, under 2.5: 129 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 42% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0