Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Mirassol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza
Game Overview
Fortaleza hosts Mirassol in this Brasileirão match with Fortaleza struggling recently and Mirassol holding a higher league position. Historically, their limited direct confrontations count just one draw.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fortaleza is 19th with no wins in their last 6 matches, scoring 2 goals in the last 5. Mirassol is 6th, scoring 8 goals in the last 5 games and demonstrating stronger recent form and defense.
- Only one past match this season ended in a 0-0 draw. Fortaleza historically has little advantage with only a single recorded draw in their H2H record.
- No specific injury data available, but no notable absences reported for either side.
- Game is played at Fortaleza’s home ground, which may provide slight advantage despite their poor recent form.
- Mirassol’s higher position suggests stronger incentive to maintain playoff contention, whereas Fortaleza’s poor standings increase pressure but their morale may be low due to winless streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fortaleza: +123, Mirassol: +230, Draw: +215 | Mirassol | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Fortaleza -0.25: -108, Mirassol +25: -112 | Mirassol +0.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol 39% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mirassol win; Spread: Mirassol +0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1