Match Analysis: Juventude vs Botafogo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Game Overview
Botafogo, sitting 5th with a positive goal difference, faces struggling Juventude, who are 18th with a poor defensive record. Botafogo is in better form, while Juventude recently showed some resilience at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo holds a stronger recent form (8W-5L-4D) compared to Juventude's struggles (4W-2L-11D) and ranks higher in the standings with +12 goal difference versus Juventude's -21.
- Recent meetings favor Juventude slightly; Juventude won the last match 2-1 in April 2025, but overall Botafogo has generally been more consistent across the season.
- No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected to be near full strength.
- Game played at Juventude's home ground, which could slightly boost the home side despite form disparity.
- Botafogo motivated to secure top-table positioning, while Juventude fights to escape relegation zone, adding pressure and urgency to their performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: -107, Juventude: +295, Draw: +235 | Botafogo | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Botafogo -0.5: -105, Juventude +50: -115 | Botafogo -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 69% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 29% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Botafogo moneyline win, Botafogo -0.5 spread, Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0