Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Real Madrid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Tartiere
Game Overview
Real Madrid enters as heavy favorites against Oviedo, with superior recent form, squad strength, and historical dominance. Oviedo are underdogs with only modest home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Madrid show strong form with a 67.1% win probability from simulations; Oviedo's chance is approximately 13.3%. Madrid's attacking strength and consistency contrast with Oviedo's struggles.
- Real Madrid hold a significant advantage historically and in simulations, with 67.1% win forecast, 19.6% draw, and just 13.3% for Oviedo.
- No significant injury information suggests key players missing for either side, so squad strength remains largely intact for Madrid.
- Match played at Oviedo's home stadium, offering home ground familiarity but less impact given Madrid's dominance. No notable weather or extraordinary conditions expected.
- Real Madrid motivated to maintain league superiority and momentum early in the season; Oviedo motivated by home crowd but limited by squad quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 875, draw: 445, away: -330 | Away Win (Real Madrid) | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | home +1.5: -112, away -1.5: -108 | Away -1.5 goals (Real Madrid) | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over 2.75: -108, under 2.75: -112 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Madrid -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Madrid to win (moneyline), Real Madrid -1.5 goals (spread), Under 2.75 total goals
Predicted Score: 0-2