Match Analysis: Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
Game Overview
Everton hosts Brighton in Everton's first competitive match at their new home, the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton are coming off a 1-0 loss at Leeds, with recent struggles and ongoing squad transition. Brighton showed promising form with a draw against Fulham and have generally been strong away performers in recent seasons.
Key Factors to Consider
- Everton lost their opening match 1-0 at Leeds with limited attacking threat, only one shot on target, despite adding Grealish and Dewsbury-Hall to their lineup. Brighton drew 0-0 with Fulham, showing good attacking intent but some inefficiency in finishing.
- Brighton has won 3 of their last 4 visits to Everton, with Everton winning twice and Brighton only once in the last five meetings, indicating Brighton's recent advantage on the road against this opponent.
- Everton faces shortages at fullback positions and are still adjusting new signings. Brighton line-up is relatively stable with no major injury concerns reported.
- Everton's new stadium debut adds pressure and excitement but also nerves. Brighton have a settled squad and good away form which could help them exploit Everton's transitional phase.
- Everton are motivated to perform well to justify new signings and establish themselves in their new home. Brighton are motivated to continue their strong away performances and capitalize on Everton's vulnerabilities.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brighton: +131, Everton: +202, Draw: +224 | Brighton | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Brighton -0.5: +127, Everton +50: -170 | Brighton -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -132 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brighton and Hove Albion 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Brighton and Hove Albion at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brighton moneyline win
Predicted Score: Everton 0 – 2 Brighton