Match Analysis: San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Friday, October 3, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Stadium, San José, CA
Game Overview
The San Jose State Spartans host the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Jose State is favored by 2.5 points, with the total set at 58.5. New Mexico is performing well against the spread this season, while San Jose State has struggled as favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- New Mexico has a strong record against the spread (3-1-0), while San Jose State is struggling at 1-3 overall. San Jose State has not covered the spread in games where they were favored by 2.5 points or more.
- Historical data on head-to-head matchups is not provided, but current trends suggest New Mexico's strong ATS record could influence the outcome.
- No specific injury information is available, but it could impact the teams' performance.
- The steady spread but rising total suggests the market expects a more efficient game pace.
- Both teams are motivated, but New Mexico's better ATS record might give them an edge in terms of confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Mexico Lobos: +108, San Jose State Spartans: -130 | San Jose State Spartans to win outright. | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | New Mexico Lobos: +2.5 -110, San Jose State Spartans: -2.5 -110 | New Mexico Lobos to cover. | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 58.5: -110, Under 58.5: -110 | Under 58.5. | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 58.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 58.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New Mexico Lobos to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: San Jose State 27, New Mexico 26