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Newcastle Knights vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter this Round 25 NRL matchup as strong favourites against the Newcastle Knights, showing superior recent form, team structure, and attacking capabilities. The Knights struggle defensively and will find it hard to contain the Broncos' well-organized offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos are in peak form with a robust defense and high-scoring attack, averaging 13 points more per game than the Knights. The Knights have leaked points consistently and show poor recent form.
  • Broncos have dominated recent clashes, holding a solid advantage in the power rankings (Broncos 4 vs Knights 12) and winning the majority of head-to-head meetings this season.
  • No significant injury reports altering major squads; Broncos maintain full strength while the Knights have minor absences but nothing impacting their already weakened setup.
  • Match is played at McDonald Jones Stadium, traditionally a Knights fortress, but this advantage is minimal against the Broncos’ form and class this season.
  • Broncos motivated to maintain top positioning late in the season, while Knights fight to salvage pride but with less incentive as playoffs odds diminish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -335, Newcastle Knights: +265, Draw: +2300 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -12.5: +105, Newcastle Knights +12.5: -135 Broncos -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos moneyline win, cover -12.5 spread, under 45.5 total points

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Newcastle Knights vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-24 Time: 4:00 AM UTC Location: McDonald Jones Stadium Game Overview The Brisbane Broncos enter this Round 25 NRL matchup as strong favourites against the Newcastle Knights, showing superior recent form, team structure, and attacking capabilities. The Knights struggle defensively and will find […]

August 24, 2025 Brisbane Broncos Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Wests Tigers vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Leichhardt Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The match between Wests Tigers and North Queensland Cowboys is projected to be an extremely close contest, with minimal separation in team strengths and a very tight predicted score margin. Both teams show inconsistent form and similar defensive and offensive capabilities, suggesting a low-scoring, tight game decided by small momentum swings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both Wests Tigers and North Queensland Cowboys have struggled for consistent attacking performances but have similar defensive solidity. Recent form shows glimpses of quality but overall inconsistency.
  • The historical data and power rankings show near parity — Tigers ranked 12 and Cowboys 8 — with recent matchups indicating razor-thin margins and balanced outcomes.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would decisively impact key positions or overall team strength.
  • The game is at Leichhardt Oval, a spiritual home for Tigers, providing a slight emotional advantage but not enough to decisively tilt the balance. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are fighting for respectability late in the season, heightening pressure and motivation to perform, which may contribute to a conservative style and careful game management.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers -139, North Queensland Cowboys +120, Draw +2000 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Wests Tigers -2.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys +2.5 -115 Wests Tigers -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to win on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to go under 49.5.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24 – North Queensland Cowboys 21


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Parramatta Eels vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Bankwest Stadium

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters enter as strong favorites against the Parramatta Eels, with recent form, head-to-head dominance, and injury status favoring the Roosters in this Round 25 NRL clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have a superior recent form, holding a 54% win rate this season and better consistency in their last 5 games (WWLWL) compared to the Eels' poor run (LLLWL).
  • Historically, Roosters lead convincingly with 8 wins to the Eels' 3 in their last 11 encounters; this includes recent clashes at Bankwest Stadium favoring the Roosters.
  • No major injuries reported for the Roosters; Parramatta Eels have some key players doubtful, weakening their attacking and defensive capabilities.
  • Playing at Bankwest Stadium usually benefits the home Eels; however, this factor is mitigated somewhat by the Roosters' strong away performances and Parramatta's inconsistent home record.
  • Roosters are motivated to secure a top finals spot, while Eels are fighting to avoid bottom standings, adding to the Roosters' edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta +255, Sydney Roosters -315, Draw +2300 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Parramatta +8.5 (-110), Sydney Roosters -8.5 (-120) Sydney Roosters -8.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-145), Under 46.5 (110) Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win straight up, cover the spread (-8.5), and the total points to go over 46.5

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – Parramatta Eels 16


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Gold Coast Titans vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans will host the New Zealand Warriors in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season, with both teams keen to secure key competition points as the finals approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The New Zealand Warriors have demonstrated stronger form recently, including a 62% win probability against the Titans based on extensive simulations. The Titans have had mixed results but recently secured a win over the Warriors in their previous meeting.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows a competitive matchup, with the Titans winning the last meeting 24-16. However, over many simulations, the Warriors hold a historical advantage with better consistency.
  • No critical injuries reported that would significantly weaken either side's core structure heading into this match.
  • The game is played at the Titans' home ground, Cbus Super Stadium, which typically favors the home team. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral without impact.
  • The Warriors are slightly more motivated given their recent form and desire to solidify finals positioning, while the Titans aim to defend their home ground and improve ladder position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans +136, New Zealand Warriors -157, Draw +2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Titans +3.5 -115, Warriors -3.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -108, Under 48.5 -118 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Titans 20


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, slight favorites at home against the Dolphins in NRL Round 25, face a competitive matchup with close odds. Both teams have shown resilience, but Manly's home advantage and recent form make this a tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly holds a moderate edge with recent form showing a 55% chance of victory, supported by consistent offense and defensive solidity, while Dolphins have shown competitive spirit but are underdog on the road.
  • Historically, Manly has held a slight advantage over Dolphins, particularly at home, as indicated by recent simulations showing the Sea Eagles favored by a small margin.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side impacting key players; both teams expected near full strength.
  • The match at Lottoland gives Manly a home crowd advantage; weather conditions expected to be neutral, not affecting game flow significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points late in the season, with Manly slightly more driven to maintain playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -113, Dolphins -106, Draw 1800 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Manly -1.5 -105, Dolphins +1.5 -125 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 46.5 -145, Under 46.5 110 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread; the total score expected to stay under 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Dolphins 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in a high-stakes NRL Round 25 clash at AAMI Park, with both teams holding strong 12-4 records and momentum favoring the Storm.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have a formidable recent form with a 5-game winning streak and an 8-1-1 record in their last 10 games. Canterbury Bulldogs are also competitive at 12-4 but have had a mixed recent form including some losses in their last 5.
  • Historically the Storm dominate with 8 wins to Bulldogs’ 2 out of their last 10 encounters, indicating a strong psychological and tactical edge at home for Melbourne.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would drastically influence performance; both teams appear near full strength.
  • The match is at Melbourne’s home ground AAMI Park, offering the Storm significant home advantage and crowd support.
  • Both teams are top contenders with identical win-loss records and 30 points, competing for critical ladder positioning pushing for a finals berth, although the Storm’s winning momentum heightens their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -205, Canterbury Bulldogs: 171, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Melbourne Storm -5.5 (-120), Canterbury Bulldogs +5.5 (-110) Melbourne Storm -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 40.5 (-105), Under 40.5 (-125) Under 40.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 40.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 40.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win straight up, cover the -5.5 spread, and the total points to go under 40.5.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 22 – Canterbury Bulldogs 16


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Penrith Panthers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Panthers Stadium, Penrith, Australia

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers are slight favorites playing at home against the Canberra Raiders in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season. The Panthers are traditionally strong, but the Raiders have built momentum and play well in neutral or away fixtures, with the venue shift somewhat mitigating Penrith's home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have shown solid form with high scoring offense, recently beating strong teams; Canberra Raiders have improved defensively and gained momentum with recent good form, excelling especially away from home and in neutral venues.
  • Penrith leads recent head-to-head matchups and holds a higher power ranking (7 vs 6), but the Raiders have shown ability to keep games close and pose an upset threat, especially under pressure and in neutral conditions.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either team that decisively shift the balance, keeping lineups close to full strength.
  • Game played at Panthers Stadium, but some sources suggest a neutral or rural venue impact reducing home advantage; weather conditions likely moderate; motivation heightened as Penrith pushes for finals positioning while Raiders aim to capitalize on upset opportunity.
  • Penrith motivated to maintain top table position and home ground dominance; Raiders highly motivated to upset favorites and continue their late-season surge with a confidence boost from recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -150, Canberra Raiders: +133, Draw: +1900 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Penrith Panthers -3.5 (-115), Canberra Raiders +3.5 (-115) Penrith Panthers -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 40.5 (-105), Under 40.5 (-125) Over 40.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 40.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – 18 Canberra Raiders


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The match features the South Sydney Rabbitohs hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons in Round 25 of the NRL season, with the Dragons currently favored to win based on recent analytics and form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown stronger recent form statistically, with a predictive model assigning them a 63% chance to win. The Rabbitohs have struggled against them historically and in recent matches.
  • The Dragons hold a dominant head-to-head record recently, winning 68% of the last 34 encounters. Notably, the Dragons took the previous close match 25-24 in March 2025.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side that would significantly alter lineup strength or tactics.
  • The game is at Stadium Australia, which slightly favors the home Rabbitohs but their home advantage is not enough to overcome Dragons' current momentum.
  • Both teams are motivated for late-season wins; however, the Dragons appear more driven to secure a playoff position, impacting their likely intensity and discipline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs +104, St George Illawarra Dragons -120, Draw +2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs +1.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 44.5 -110, Under 44.5 -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St George Illawarra Dragons to win (moneyline), cover -1.5 spread, and over 44.5 total points

Predicted Score: Dragons 26 – Rabbitohs 20


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys host the Newcastle Knights in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams are out of finals contention, playing mainly for pride and to avoid wooden spoon status. The Cowboys enter as strong favorites with superior recent H2H records and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cowboys have shown defensive improvements and have won 4 straight matches over the Knights, although their overall season form has been poor with 8 losses in 10 games. The Knights remain the league’s lowest-scoring side and have dropped 5 consecutive matches, struggling offensively.
  • The Cowboys boast a dominant recent H2H record with 4 straight victories against the Knights, including last year’s elimination final. They have a 9-game winning streak at home versus Newcastle.
  • The Cowboys have several players returning from injury (McLean, Lawton, Mikaele, Edwards) but are missing Coen Hess due to suspension. Knights are without Phoenix Crossland (head knock) and make debut with rookie Connor Votano. Dane Gagai returns from injury.
  • Playing at home in Townsville gives the Cowboys a strong advantage, amplified by the Knights’ ongoing offensive struggles and recent heavy defeats.
  • Both teams have limited motivation due to eliminated finals hopes, but the Cowboys’ recent defensive improvements and home dominance provide more incentive to maintain pride and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys -225, Knights 185, Draw 2200 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cowboys -7.5 (-115), Knights +7.5 (-115) North Queensland Cowboys -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys to win outright with a cover on the -7.5 spread and the game total going over 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 28 – 18 Newcastle Knights


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Wests Tigers vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A closely matched clash between Wests Tigers and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles with both teams showing strong defensive efforts but inconsistent attack. The Sea Eagles come in as favourites but recent form and motivation suggest a tight, low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold steadier form but have lost their last three matches including to tough teams. Wests Tigers are improving and coming off a strong win, showing resilience and fight.
  • Historically close contests; recent meetings have been tight with minor margins. Defensive battles dominate with scoring opportunities limited.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting lineups; teams expected to be near full strength.
  • Playing at Allianz Stadium in Sydney benefits Wests Tigers who typically perform better at home. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral to slightly favor defensive play.
  • Sea Eagles' recent losing streak and playoff uncertainty may reduce intensity, while Tigers are motivated by pride and a chance to upset a favoured opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -148, Wests Tigers 128, Draw 2000 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manly -2.5 -120, Wests Tigers +2.5 -110 Wests Tigers +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to cover the +2.5 spread and keep the game close, with a possible upset win based on value and motivation disparities.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 22 – Wests Tigers 20


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