Match Analysis: Lyon vs Salzburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Groupama Stadium, Lyon
Game Overview
Lyon will host Salzburg at Groupama Stadium for the UEFA Europa League regular season match. Both teams are in decent form, with Lyon showing strong recent performances in Ligue 1 and Europa League. Salzburg have struggled somewhat in recent matches but remain competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lyon has won their last three matches, including a 1-0 away win in the Europa League against Utrecht and a 1-0 win against Lille. Salzburg, however, have mixed results with a 2-1 league win against WSG Tirol but a 0-1 home loss to FC Porto in the Europa League and recent domestic defeats.
- The two clubs have limited recent direct encounters in UEFA competitions. Head-to-head advantage is not decisively in favour of either side, making form and venue significant factors.
- No specific injury data provided for key players from either Lyon or Salzburg ahead of this fixture. Assumed both squads close to full strength.
- The game will be played at Lyon's home ground, Groupama Stadium, which offers Lyon a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported as affecting factors.
- As an important group stage match, both teams will be motivated to secure maximum points early. Lyonβs recent winning momentum could add confidence, while Salzburg will be eager to rebound from their Europa League loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon: -192, Salzburg: 475, Draw: 330 | Lyon to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Lyon: -1 at -118, Salzburg: +1 at -112 | Lyon -1 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: -110 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lyon is predicted to edge out Salzburg in a close contest, leveraging home advantage and better recent form.
Predicted Score: 2-1