Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Austin FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC
Game Overview
CF Montreal, struggling with a poor season form and defensive vulnerabilities, hosts Austin FC, who have shown stronger performance and recent winning momentum, making the away side favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal ranks low with a 4-8-15 record, scoring 25 goals but conceding 48 (goal differential -23) and averaging 0.74 points per game. Austin FC holds a superior 9-8-8 record and better defensive metrics, conceding fewer goals and showing better overall team stability.
- Historically, Austin FC edges Montreal in recent encounters, and current form further favors Austin FC's ability to secure a road win or at least avoid defeat.
- No significant injury news reported for key starters on either side, with starting goalkeepers Thomas Gillier for Montreal and Brad Stuver for Austin expected to play.
- Montrealβs home advantage is somewhat mitigated by their poor form and defensive struggles. Weather and pitch conditions not reported as adverse.
- Austin FC is motivated to climb the standings with a solid mid-table position, whereas Montreal's motivation is hampered by poor results and low expected goals, indicating less attacking threat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 155 | Austin FC | β β β ββ 67% |
Spread | 146 | Austin FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | -128 (Over 2.5), -103 (Under 2.5) | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC 40% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin FC moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2