Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati hosts New York City FC in a key Eastern Conference MLS clash. Cincinnati currently holds a stronger position in the standings with solid home form and defensive stability, while NYCFC struggles with consistency on the road and a relatively weaker defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati is ranked 12th in MLS with 52 points, showing an effective defense conceding 34 goals and averaging 1.93 points per game. NYCFC sits with 41 points, has a save rate of 71.7%, but with weaker away results affecting their season.
- Recent H2H matchups favor FC Cincinnati, who have shown more control and better results at home against NYCFC in past meetings.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team affecting starting goalkeepers Roman Celentano (FCC) and Matt Freese (NYCFC).
- Match played at Cincinnati's home ground, TQL Stadium, with Cincinnati motivated to maintain top Eastern Conference standing. Weather and pitch conditions are standard with no notable external disruptions.
- FC Cincinnati aims to extend their advantage at the top of the Eastern Conference. NYCFC needs points but recent away form issues decrease their motivation confidence for this fixture.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -110, away: 265, draw: 285 | FC Cincinnati | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -115 | FC Cincinnati -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -147, under: 110 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Cincinnati to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0