Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, OH
Game Overview
Columbus Crew SC hosts New England Revolution in an MLS regular season match. Columbus sits higher in standings with better recent form and home advantage, while New England struggles on the road and has a poor recent record vs Columbus.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew SC has a stronger overall season performance with 12-9-5 record, scoring 42 goals and conceding 37, averaging 1.73 points per match. New England Revolution is 7-7-12 with just 28 points and a lower goal scoring rate. Columbus ranks 5th in expected goals, demonstrating quality attack.
- Columbus dominates recent matchups, winning 4 of last 5 meetings with New England including a 1-0 win earlier this season. New England has won only once in last 15 meetings dating back to 2018.
- No significant injury news reported for either side affecting key starters or goalkeepers; expected goaltenders are Patrick Schulte for Columbus and Matt Turner for New England.
- Match played at Columbus's home stadium Lower.com Field with favorable weather (partly cloudy, ~85Β°F). Columbus benefits from home advantage and the Revolution must travel after a long homestand.
- Columbus fights to maintain playoff positioning with recent solid form, while New England is trying to overcome poor away form and break a negative head-to-head streak. Motivation favors Columbus due to both standings and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | ColumbusCrewSC: -191, NewEnglandRevolution: 440, Draw: 360 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | ColumbusCrewSC-1.5: 128, NewEnglandRevolution+1.5: -169 | Columbus Crew SC -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over3.5: 120, Under3.5: -161 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC to win outright (moneyline), cover the -1.5 spread, and the match to finish over 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1