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Lyon vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Lyon vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de Lyon

Game Overview

Lyon, the home team, is favored to dominate Metz, given their superior team form and head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lyon has been in solid form, while Metz often struggles against top opponents.
  • Historically, Lyon tends to have the upper hand over Metz.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Home advantage and crowd support favor Lyon.
  • Lyon is more motivated to secure a win to maintain league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -265 (Lyon), 625 (Metz), 400 (Draw) Lyon ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread -1.25 -120 (Lyon), 1.25 100 (Metz) Lyon -1.25 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3 -115, Under 3 -105 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon to win, with over 2.5 goals likely.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Lyon vs. Metz Prediction

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Metz – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 7:05 PM UTC Location: Stade de Lyon Game Overview Lyon, the home team, is favored to dominate Metz, given their superior team form and head-to-head record. Key Factors to Consider Lyon has been in solid form, while Metz often struggles against top opponents. […]

August 23, 2025 lyon Metz Soccer

MORE FROM LIGUE-1

Nice vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nice vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 matchup pits home side Nice, recently struggling with form and currently bottom of the standings after one game, against Auxerre, who have shown resilience with an unbeaten streak against Nice and some recent positive results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nice have lost their last 3 clashes against Auxerre and started the season poorly with a loss. Auxerre are unbeaten in 4 of their last 6 matches overall and hold a psychological advantage in recent H2H.
  • Auxerre have not lost to Nice in their last 5 meetings, winning or drawing each time, indicating a tactical edge and confidence over the hosts.
  • No major injury news affecting either side significantly was reported, suggesting lineups will be near full strength for both.
  • Playing at home benefits Nice but their recent poor form and pressure of a negative start could impact performance adversely. Weather and pitch conditions typical for August in Nice are expected, offering neutral impact.
  • Nice are under pressure to improve from a poor start, which could motivate them strongly, but may also induce errors. Auxerre’s confidence from unbeaten runs and positive head-to-head form may sustain their focus and competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nice: -157, Draw: +305, Auxerre: +385 Nice ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Nice -0.75: -122, Auxerre +75: +102 Nice -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nice -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nice to win on the moneyline with a cautious approach on the spread; expect a moderately defensive game with under 2.75 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Marseille vs. Paris FC Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Marseille vs Paris FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orange Velodrome, Marseille, France

Game Overview

Marseille hosts Paris FC in a Ligue 1 clash at Orange Velodrome. Both teams currently occupy lower table positions (Marseille 15th, Paris FC 16th) early in the season, making this match critical for momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marseille showed possession dominance but started the season with a 1-0 loss to Rennes, indicating some adjustment issues. Paris FC, recently promoted, has struggled but remain competitive.
  • Historically Marseille holds the upper hand against Paris FC with more wins, but recent encounters suggest tighter contests as Paris FC adapts to Ligue 1 level.
  • No major injury reports available; lineups likely close to full strength for both sides.
  • Playing at home in Orange Velodrome provides Marseille a significant home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to lift themselves from bottom table positions; Marseille especially keen to avoid early relegation zone pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marseille: -275, Paris FC: 675, Draw: 395 Marseille ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Marseille -1.25: -122, Paris FC +1.25: 102 Marseille -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 Under 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marseille -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marseille to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to go under 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Paris Saint Germain vs. Angers Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Angers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France

Game Overview

Paris Saint Germain is heavily favored at home against Angers, a team that tends to be defensively oriented but lacks offensive firepower. PSG’s squad depth and quality advantage, even with rotation, strongly suggests a dominant performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSG shows strong form with superior possession and passing metrics, while Angers registered only 32% possession and 74% pass completion in their opener, indicating struggling offense and buildup.
  • Historically, PSG consistently outmatches Angers at home with multiple comfortable wins and clean sheets, cementing PSG’s dominance.
  • PSG has new signing Illia Zabarnyi, adding defensive stability, with no significant injury concerns reported. Angers lacks notable attacking threats and carries no major injury improvements.
  • Played at Parc des Princes, PSG’s home advantage is significant. Weather and pitch conditions are expected normal and favorable to PSG’s style.
  • PSG looks motivated to assert league dominance early, while Angers is expected to adopt a defensive mindset, lacking ambition to challenge deeply.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain -1300, Draw +1000, Angers +1900 Paris Saint Germain ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Paris Saint Germain -2.75 -108, Angers +2.75 -112 Paris Saint Germain -2.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.75 -120, Under 3.75 +100 Under 3.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.75 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.75 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris Saint Germain to win outright and cover the -2.75 spread, with a low-scoring game under 3.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Nantes vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes

Game Overview

The opening Ligue 1 match between Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain sets a classic underdog vs favorite scenario, where PSG’s historical dominance and squad quality heavily outweigh Nantes’ recent mixed form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSG showed resilience despite a recent setback against Chelsea, while Nantes seek to rebound from a disappointing loss. PSG’s squad depth and attacking prowess remain superior.
  • PSG leads the head-to-head with 12 wins to Nantes’ 3 over 17 matches, showing consistent dominance.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact PSG’s key attackers or Nantes’ defensive lineup, maintaining typical strength levels.
  • Home advantage for Nantes may offer motivation but is unlikely to bridge the quality gap. No significant weather or pitch issues reported.
  • PSG motivated to start the season strongly after a recent loss; Nantes motivated to prove themselves at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nantes: 7.37, Paris Saint Germain: 1.37, Draw: 4.75 Paris Saint Germain ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Nantes +1.5: -114, Paris Saint Germain -1.5: -106 Paris Saint Germain -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win for Paris Saint-Germain

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Metz vs. Strasbourg Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Metz vs Strasbourg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Municipal St.-Symphorien, Metz

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 season opener features Metz hosting Strasbourg. Metz is recovering from a heavy recent defeat and under pressure to perform at home. Strasbourg comes as slight favorites, with a stronger historical record against Metz but also inconsistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Metz has shown weak recent form with a heavy 0-8 loss in the last outing, while Strasbourg has been inconsistent but managed better away results historically.
  • Strasbourg has a stronger historical performance against Metz, winning the majority of their recent encounters, suggesting a psychological edge.
  • No explicit injury data available from sources, implying no major injury news influencing the outcome.
  • Playing at Metz's Municipal St.-Symphorien offers home advantage, but recent heavy loss may affect confidence; no notable external disruptions reported.
  • Metz needs redemption after a heavy defeat and will be motivated by home crowd support. Strasbourg aims to build momentum early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Metz 2.23, Strasbourg 1.29, Draw 2.47 Strasbourg ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Metz +25 -114, Strasbourg -0.25 -106 Strasbourg -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -113, Under 2.5 -107 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Strasbourg 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Strasbourg at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win for Strasbourg on moneyline, Strasbourg -0.25 on spread, and over 2.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Auxerre vs. Lorient Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre

Game Overview

Auxerre hosts Lorient in the opening match of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season, both aiming to rebound from recent disappointing results and to establish early momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre has shown solid home form historically and are favored coming into this match, despite a recent home defeat in a non-league match. Lorient has struggled away recently but has quality to challenge.
  • Historically, Auxerre has the upper hand against Lorient, particularly at home, which strengthens their edge in this matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would severely impact the starting lineup or tactical setup.
  • Season opener atmosphere likely motivates both, but Auxerre benefits from home crowd support and familiar conditions.
  • Both sides keen to start positively; Auxerre may have a slight motivational edge to dispel the shadow of their recent loss and please home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 140 Auxerre ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Auxerre -0.25 @ 1.04, Lorient +25 @ -1.24 Auxerre -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -107, Under 2.5 -113 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Auxerre 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Auxerre at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Auxerre to win the match

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Angers vs. Paris FC Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Angers vs Paris FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Home stadium of Angers (exact venue not specified in sources)

Game Overview

A tightly matched Ligue 1 fixture between Angers and Paris FC with both sides showing mixed recent form. Paris FC enters as slight favorites but odds indicate a balanced contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form is balanced with no dominant team. Paris FC is marginally favored due to slightly better recent results and stronger away performance.
  • Previous meetings have been competitive with low-scoring draws and occasional narrow wins on both sides, indicating a close match-up.
  • No specific injury information was provided by sources; assume typical squad availability with no significant absences.
  • No notable external influences such as weather or venue anomalies reported that could impact either team significantly.
  • Early in the season, both teams approach with motivation to secure points, but no strong evidence suggests higher motivation for either side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Angers: 1.69, Paris FC: 1.87, Draw: 2.17 Draw ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Angers 0: -119, Paris FC 0: -101 Angers 0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -106, Under 2.25: -114 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Draw; Spread: Angers 0; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Brest vs. Lille Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brest vs Lille – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 season opener features Brest hosting Lille in a match where Lille is slight favorite despite Brest's strong home form. Both teams have undergone roster changes, but Lille has shown recent superiority in head-to-heads while Brest aims to leverage home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brest finished last season strongly at home, winning 10 home matches and losing only 3 in the second half. Lille narrowly missed Champions League qualification but ended last season positively and remain competitive with a strong roster.
  • In the last six meetings, Lille has dominated with 3 wins to Brest's 1, including a recent 2-0 away victory. Matches have generally been competitive, with several outcomes close in scoreline.
  • Brest has notable absences including Julien Le Cardinal and Mama Baldé for the opener, while Lille's squad remains relatively stable; no major injury concerns reported impacting Lille significantly.
  • No specific adverse external factors such as weather or travel issues reported. Both teams appear motivated for a strong start to the season.
  • Lille aims to progress beyond last season's fifth place and return to Champions League football, while Brest targets a higher league finish and to maximize home advantage early in the campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brest 2.35, Lille 1.24, Draw 2.45 Lille ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Brest +25 (-107), Lille -0.25 (-113) Lille -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-112), Under 2.5 (-108) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lille 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lille at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win for Lille on the moneyline, Lille -0.25 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals for the total

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Nice vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nice vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice

Game Overview

Nice hosts Toulouse in the Ligue 1 opener. Nice is marginally favored by bookmakers considering recent form and home advantage, but historical H2H points to a tight, low-scoring match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nice showed solid home form last season while Toulouse's recent matches indicate moderate competitiveness but mixed results including draws and losses.
  • Last six matches between these teams featured four draws and mostly low-scoring games, with six of seven encounters yielding two or fewer total goals.
  • No major injury concerns reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
  • Season opener atmosphere typically balances motivation; Allianz Riviera offers Nice a familiar and supportive environment.
  • Both teams are motivated to start strong, but Nice likely more motivated due to home advantage and historical ranking superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nice 1.13, Toulouse 2.55, Draw 2.35 Nice ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Nice -0.25 (-123), Toulouse +25 (103) Nice -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (1.02), Under 2.5 (1.22) Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nice 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nice at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nice to win on the moneyline, covering the slight spread, with the match finishing under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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