Match Analysis: Genoa vs Lecce – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Not specified
Game Overview
Genoa is set to face Lecce in a Serie A matchup where Genoa has historically performed well against Lecce, particularly in recent head-to-head matches. Genoa is favored to win with odds reflecting their recent success. The under market is priced attractively, but the nature of both teams suggests a cautious approach.
Key Factors to Consider
- Genoa has shown superior performance in recent meetings, winning all three recent H2Hs 2-1. Lecce's offensive struggles might impact the total score.
- Genoa has a strong recent record against Lecce, winning all three recent matches 2-1.
- No significant injury updates are noted in the search results.
- There are no noted external factors affecting the game.
- Both teams are likely motivated to secure early points in the season, but Genoa's historical edge may give them an added boost.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Genoa: -102, Lecce: 310, Draw: 232 | Genoa | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Genoa: -0.5 -102, Lecce: 50 -118 | Genoa | β β β β β 74% |
Over/under | over: 2.25 105, under: 2.25 -125 | Under | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Genoa 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Genoa at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Genoa is predicted to outperform Lecce based on recent form and head-to-head results.
Predicted Score: 1-0 to Genoa