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Burnley vs. Sunderland Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Burnley vs Sunderland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley

Game Overview

Burnley return home after a heavy opening day defeat while Sunderland come off an emphatic 3-0 home win. Both teams are eager for points early in the season, with Sunderland showing stronger momentum and Burnley needing to crack back defensively and offensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnley lost 3-0 at Tottenham in their Premier League return, struggling offensively and under pressure at the back. Sunderland won their opener 3-0 against West Ham, demonstrating potent attacking form and confidence.
  • Historically, Burnley has the advantage at home, but recent Premier League results favor Sunderland’s resilience. No recent high-scoring encounters; Burnley’s defense was steadier in past meetings but recent form shifts balance.
  • Burnley will miss Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni due to injury, weakening defensive and attacking options. Sunderland’s key players mostly fit, with goalkeeper Anthony Patterson recently returning to fitness.
  • Burnley face pressure after last week's heavy defeat which may prompt tactical changes, including formation shift to 4-4-1-1 for better attacking structure. Sunderland have momentum from their last win and less pressure.
  • Burnley highly motivated to bounce back on home turf and maintain Premier League status, while Sunderland look to consolidate their strong start and capitalize on Burnley’s vulnerabilities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley +126, Sunderland +222, Draw +214 Sunderland ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Burnley -0.5 +122, Sunderland +50 -163 Sunderland +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 +122, Under 2.5 -163 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Burnley 42%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Burnley at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sunderland Moneyline Win

Predicted Score: Burnley 0-1 Sunderland


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Burnley vs. Sunderland Prediction

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Sunderland – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 2:00 PM UTC Location: Turf Moor, Burnley Game Overview Burnley return home after a heavy opening day defeat while Sunderland come off an emphatic 3-0 home win. Both teams are eager for points early in the season, with Sunderland showing stronger momentum and […]

August 23, 2025 Burnley Soccer Sunderland

MORE FROM EPL

Manchester City vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium

Game Overview

A high-stakes EPL clash between Manchester City and Liverpool featuring 2nd place City (19 pts) and close-chasing Liverpool (18 pts). City have strong home form, recent momentum from big wins, and slight pressure to close the gap on Arsenal. Liverpool remain competitive but are slight underdogs in odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City have won 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions, showing strong form at home with a 4-0-1 Premier League record scoring 13 and conceding 4. Liverpool have a solid but less dominant record, with a 6-0-4 overall in EPL.
  • Recent meetings suggest a tight contest with no decisive trend; City's strong home form offers them a slight edge in this venue.
  • Only long-term absentee for City is Mateo Kovacic. No major injury concerns reported for Liverpool.
  • Motivational pressure is on Manchester City to keep pace with Arsenal who could extend the lead by matchday. Both teams are top contenders with Champions League matches influencing recent form.
  • City motivated to capitalize at home and close points gap, Liverpool motivated to challenge at the top and respond to City's momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -118, Liverpool: +280, Draw: +305 Manchester City ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Manchester City -0.5: -118, Liverpool +50: -102 Manchester City -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -105, Under 3.25: -115 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, with overall goals staying under 3.25

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: City Ground, West Bridgford

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest hosts Leeds United in a tightly contested EPL fixture between two teams struggling offensively and fighting relegation, with both sides demonstrating solid defensive shapes but low scoring rates overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have scored less than one goal per game on average recently, with Nottingham Forest showing improved defensive organization under Sean Dyche but limited attacking threat, while Leeds United have lost consecutive away matches and face key injuries impacting defense and attack.
  • Leeds have a slight edge in recent meetings, winning 3 of the last 6 encounters, but the last match at City Ground ended in a narrow 1-0 Forest victory; previous games have tended to be low scoring with tendency towards under 2.5 goals.
  • Leeds face multiple absences including key players Joe Rodon (DEF), Karl Darlow (GK), Gabriel Gudmundsson (DEF), and Joe Gelhardt (F) out with injuries or illness. Nottingham Forest have a relatively healthier squad with fewer injury concerns.
  • Nottingham Forest played a Europa League match midweek ending 0-0 and may have slight fatigue, but home advantage at City Ground typically helps them. Weather and pitch conditions appear normal with no extreme factors reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to escape relegation danger; Nottingham Forest have home support and recent form is slightly steadier, while Leeds are under pressure after away losses and must respond positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nottingham Forest +122 / Draw +235 / Leeds United +230 Nottingham Forest ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nottingham Forest -0.25 -110 / Leeds United +25 -110 Nottingham Forest -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -122 / Under 2.25 +102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nottingham Forest 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nottingham Forest to win the moneyline, cover the spread at -0.25, and an Under 2.25 total goals outcome

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Crystal Palace vs. Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Selhurst Park, London, England

Game Overview

Crystal Palace host Brighton & Hove Albion in an EPL match where both teams have contrasting recent forms and motivations. Palace are slightly favored at home despite Brighton's strong away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crystal Palace have shown resilience at home with recent victories including a 3-1 Conference League win and a 2-0 league win over Brentford. Brighton won their last Premier League match 3-0 away vs Leeds, showing strong attacking potency but have inconsistent form overall.
  • In their recent Premier League encounter, Crystal Palace defeated Brighton 2-0 at home, indicating a tactical edge and confidence against this opponent.
  • No significant injury news reported that would heavily impact either side; both teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Selhurst Park benefits Palace's home advantage. Brighton faces travel demands but are accustomed to Premier League away pressures.
  • Crystal Palace have extra motivation from competing well in Europe recently and desire to maintain a strong home record. Brighton aim to stabilize league performance after mixed results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Crystal Palace -126, Brighton +205, Draw +250 Crystal Palace win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Crystal Palace -0.25 (-105), Brighton +25 (-115) Crystal Palace -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-105), Under 2.75 (-115) Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Crystal Palace 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Crystal Palace at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Crystal Palace to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with the match likely under 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa will host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash at Villa Park. Villa sit in the top 5 with a solid recent form, while Bournemouth are mid-table with a mixed record. Both teams have scoring potential but Villa have a slight defensive edge and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 games and 3-1 against the spread recently; Bournemouth sit lower in the table with fewer points (15 vs 18 for Villa) and a less consistent recent form.
  • Previous matchups indicate balanced competition but Aston Villa have had the upper hand recently, including home performances shown by 3-1 ATS record.
  • No major injury concerns reported that would severely impact either side’s starting XI.
  • Villa playing at home (Villa Park), with stronger public betting interest reflected by 73% bets on Villa; no adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Villa have a higher position in the table and motivation to consolidate top 5 status; Bournemouth motivated to improve mid-table standing but less so than Villa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 120, away: 230, draw: 240 Home ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 87%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Brentford vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brentford vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford

Game Overview

Brentford hosts Newcastle United in a mid-table EPL clash closely matched in league standing and points, with both sides eager to climb the table. Brentford's strong home form contrasts with Newcastle’s ongoing search for an away victory this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brentford holds a respectable home record with 3 wins from 5 matches, while Newcastle has won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions but still struggles away in the league this season.
  • Newcastle has historically dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, adding confidence to their potential to win despite current away struggles.
  • Brentford’s squad is nearly at full strength with key players including Benjamin Arthur expected to feature. Newcastle’s injury situation is stable with no major absences reported.
  • Both teams are under pressure to secure points to avoid slipping deeper into the bottom half; Brentford benefits from the home crowd and familiarity of the Gtech Community Stadium.
  • Both teams are closely matched on points (12th vs. 13th), boosting motivation equally to climb the table, with Newcastle looking to break away from poor away form and Brentford aiming to maintain their upward home trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline brentford: +185, newcastle: +145, draw: +240 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread brentford_0: +110, newcastle_0: -130 Newcastle United 0 spread (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_2.5: -122, under_2.5: +102 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United moneyline win represents the highest expected value due to recent form, historical H2H dominance, and attractive American odds.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Chelsea vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Chelsea's Home Stadium

Game Overview

Chelsea enters as strong favorites with better form, superior squad health, and significant home advantage against a struggling Wolverhampton side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea have 17 points from 10 matches with positive recent form; Wolves last with 2 points and poor away results.
  • In the last five meetings, Chelsea have dominated with 4 wins and an average of 4.5 goals per match, indicating an attacking edge.
  • Chelsea’s squad is relatively healthy with no critical absences reported; Wolves have some defensive vulnerabilities but no major injury crisis.
  • Home advantage for Chelsea is strong; no significant external disruptions noted.
  • Chelsea are motivated to consolidate Premier League standing; Wolves desperate to salvage points but morale is low given recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -275 Chelsea ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -120 Chelsea -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under -122 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea to win on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and match to have over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Sunderland vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium of Light

Game Overview

Arsenal visit Sunderland with strong form and heavy odds favoritism, while Sunderland remain unbeaten at home this season and occupy a Champions League spot, making the matchup competitive despite Arsenal's clear superiority on paper.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have won 8 of 9 matches as favorites this season, winning all three at similar or stronger odds (-256 or lower). Sunderland are unbeaten at home and recently drew 1-1 with Everton, showing resilience and defensive strength.
  • Arsenal have dominated recent encounters, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings, including the sole match in this decade against Sunderland.
  • No significant injury reports affect Arsenal's main lineup; Sunderland's injury status is stable with no key absences reported.
  • Match takes place at Sunderland's Stadium of Light, where Sunderland have not lost this season, possibly adding home advantage pressure to Arsenal.
  • Arsenal seek to extend their lead atop the Premier League, maintaining momentum; Sunderland aim to consolidate their Champions League place and continue strong home performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal -250, Sunderland +625, Draw +390 Arsenal ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arsenal -1.25 -108, Sunderland +1.25 -112 Sunderland +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 +105, Under 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal moneyline win; Sunderland +1.25 Asian handicap; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Arsenal 2 – 1 Sunderland


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West Ham United vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: London Stadium

Game Overview

West Ham United hosts Burnley in a Premier League clash where West Ham are slight favorites backed by recent form and home advantage, while Burnley pose a tough away challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Ham have just secured their first win of the season under Nuno Espirito Santo, showing improvement. Burnley recently ended a two-game winning streak and have proven resilient away from home.
  • In the past six Premier League meetings, West Ham have won three and drawn three against Burnley, who have not beaten West Ham since 2020. Both teams often score in these matchups.
  • No major reported injury setbacks for either team that would heavily impact starting lineups or tactical approach.
  • Home pitch advantage for West Ham and the motivating factor of securing early season points play a role; no significant weather or travel issues expected.
  • West Ham are motivated to solidify their position following their first win, while Burnley aim to avoid defeat and continue demonstrating away resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline West Ham United: -109, Burnley: 300, Draw: 255 West Ham United ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread West Ham United -0.5: -110, Burnley +50: -110 West Ham United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Ham United 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Ham United to win, Over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Everton vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Everton vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Goodison Park, Liverpool

Game Overview

A tightly contested EPL matchup between Everton (14th place) and Fulham (15th place), separated by just one point. Everton are slight favorites at home, showing good possession and home strength, while Fulham have been competitive but winless away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton have maintained solid home form with dominant possession in previous home games; Fulham have struggled to secure away wins but have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Recent encounters show balanced competitiveness with 4 out of last 6 matches featuring both teams scoring. The teams are closely matched in the Premier League table, indicating potential for a close game.
  • No outstanding injury concerns significantly impacting starting lineups reported for either side at match time.
  • Playing at Goodison Park gives Everton home advantage; Fulham's limited set-piece threat and corners away from home reduce their attacking variety.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb from relegation-threatened positions (14th and 15th) which may encourage an open and competitive match rather than defensive caution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 121, Fulham: 235, Draw: 225 Everton ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Everton -0.25: -112, Fulham +25: -108 Everton -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Everton to win on the moneyline confidently, with both teams scoring and a modest goal total expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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