Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 11:35 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals (63-65) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (61-66) for the first game of a three-game MLB series, starting with Sonny Gray for the Cardinals and likely a less consistent Tampa Bay starter. Both teams have struggled recently, with Rays losing their last three and Cardinals dropping six of their last eight.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rays have a 32-31 home record and have recently allowed 26 runs in their last three games. The Cardinals hold a 28-35 road record and have lost 6 of their last 8 games, showing poor form lately.
- Sonny Gray is 1-4 with a 4.45 ERA in his last five starts against the Rays, showing mixed results. Tampa Bayβs historical performance at home is slightly better than St. Louis on the road.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key players for either team in this matchup.
- Game played at Tampa Bayβs home field with Rays motivated to stop their three-game losing streak. Cardinals are on the road with recent travel and poor away form.
- The Rays have home field advantage and a chance to rebound from recent poor performances. The Cardinals aim to recover from a 6-2 loss last game and stabilize before their upcoming series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -115 | Cardinals | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Cardinals -1.5 +147 | Cardinals -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 +100 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cardinals moneyline
Predicted Score: Cardinals 6 – Rays 4