Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (72-55), with Clayton Kershaw starting, face the Colorado Rockies (37-90) at Coors Field in the 4th game of their series. The Rockies lead the series 2-1 with recent momentum, but Dodgers hold a strong season edge overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers have superior pitching (4.12 ERA vs Rockies' 6.00 ERA) and balanced offense led by Shohei Ohtani and Will Smith. Rockies have struggled overall but have won 5 of their last 6 games, showing improved form.
- Dodgers lead the season series 7-2 despite losing recent two games. Rockies won last game 8-3, snapping Ohtani's undefeated season streak.
- Dodgers missing Enrique HernΓ‘ndez (elbow inflammation), key bench utility player. Rockies have no major injuries noted recently impacting pitching or offense.
- Coors Field is a hitter-friendly park that inflates scoring, favoring the over on total runs. Kershaw has handled Coors well in his career; Rockies' young pitcher Chase Dollander struggles in away and overall performance.
- Rockies aim to extend their best streak of the season to four games, motivated by recent success. Dodgers motivated to avoid series loss and maintain postseason momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +205, Los Angeles Dodgers: -255 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5: +152, Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: -184 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 11.5: -118, Under 11.5: -104 | Over 11.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 11.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers win moneyline, cover -1.5 run spread, and the game goes over 11.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Dodgers 7 – Rockies 5