Match Analysis: Hull City vs Preston North End – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium, Hull, England
Game Overview
Hull City will face Preston North End in an EFL Championship match at the MKM Stadium. Hull City currently rank 15th in the league, while Preston North End are higher placed at 6th. Both teams have met twice last season, showing some competitive history. The match carries importance for Hull to climb the table and for Preston to secure a strong position in pursuit of promotion.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City have had an inconsistent campaign, reflected in their mid-lower table standing. Preston North End have been more consistent, holding a top 6 place, with better overall form and goal-scoring ability relative to Hull. Preston's away form has been decent but not dominant. Hull, playing at home, can leverage home crowd advantage but have struggled defensively.
- In the last season, they played two Championship matches where results were closely contested. Historical data suggests a slight edge to Preston in recent encounters but no overwhelming dominance. The head-to-head is fairly balanced.
- Current injury information is limited from available data; no major injuries reported for either side that would decisively impact the starting lineup.
- Playing at MKM Stadium will favor Hull slightly, with home support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for late September in England, not significantly affecting play.
- Hull City will be motivated to improve their league position with a home win. Preston North Endβs motivation is high to maintain their top 6 status and push for playoff contention, making them also highly competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City: 115, Preston North End: 220, Draw: 225 | Hull City win | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Hull City: -0.25 -110, Preston North End: +25 -110 | Hull City -0.25 | β β β ββ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Preston North Endβs superior league standing, consistent form, and balanced historical results, a narrow away win or draw is the most plausible outcome. Hullβs home advantage limits the likelihood of a big away win, suggesting a close scoreline.
Predicted Score: 1-1