Match Analysis: Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 10:45 AM UTC
- Location: Unknown
Game Overview
Su Mudaerji, a seasoned UFC fighter with striking precision and reach advantage, faces Kevin Borjas who is making his UFC debut. Mudaerji's experience in the octagon and technical style gives him a significant edge, but Borjas' unpredictability and potential motivation as a debutant make this intriguing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Su Mudaerji has consistently demonstrated superior striking and fight IQ in recent UFC bouts, while Kevin Borjas lacks UFC experience, which may impact his composure and fight management.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas as this is Borjasβ UFC debut.
- No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both are fully fit ahead of the bout.
- Fight venue is neutral with no apparent external influences such as home crowd advantage; weather and travel impacts are minimal.
- Borjas is highly motivated making his UFC debut and may push aggressively, while Mudaerji is motivated to maintain his UFC standing and capitalize on the favorable matchup.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Su Mudaerji -166, Kevin Borjas +140 | Su Mudaerji | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Su Mudaerji -3.5 140, Kevin Borjas +3.5 -195 | Su Mudaerji -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -270, Under 2.5 200 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Su Mudaerji -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 80% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 80% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Su Mudaerji to win by moneyline.
Predicted Score: Su Mudaerji wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds