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Long Xiao vs. Su Young You Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Long Xiao vs Su Young You – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, China

Game Overview

This Bantamweight UFC Fight Night preliminary card features Long Xiao, a skilled striker and grappler with a 27-8 record aiming to rebound after a recent split decision loss, versus Su Young You, an undefeated UFC talent with a 15-3 record known for her grappling dominance and quick finishes. Su Young is the betting favorite given her flawless UFC debut streak and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Su Young You is on an undefeated UFC streak since November 2024 with multiple first-round finishes, demonstrating superior grappling and agility. Long Xiao, while strong in striking and resilient, comes off a split decision loss in June and has fewer finishes recently.
  • No direct previous fights documented between the two, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are at full capacity.
  • Fight taking place in Shanghai Indoor Stadium, favoring Long Xiao geographically but with no notable home advantage impact reported.
  • Long Xiao aims to rebound and restore momentum after his recent loss, while Su Young You looks to extend her undefeated stretch in the UFC, suggesting high motivation on both sides but stronger momentum on You’s side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Xiao: +110, Su Young You: -130 Su Young You ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Su Young You -1.5 rounds: -140, Long Xiao +1.5 rounds: +120 Su Young You -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -300, Under 2.5 rounds: +240 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Su Young You -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 128%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Young You to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Su Young You wins by submission or decision in 3 rounds


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Long Xiao vs. Su Young You Prediction

Match Analysis: Long Xiao vs Su Young You – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 7:35 AM UTC Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, China Game Overview This Bantamweight UFC Fight Night preliminary card features Long Xiao, a skilled striker and grappler with a 27-8 record aiming to rebound after a recent split decision loss, […]

August 23, 2025 Long Xiao MMA/Boxing Su Young You

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Johnny Walker vs. Zhang Mingyang Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 12:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Arena, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

Johnny Walker faces Zhang Mingyang in a light heavyweight main event at UFC Shanghai. Zhang is a heavy favorite due to his precision striking, knockout power, and a long streak of first-round finishes, while Walker is a dynamic but less durable and less precise striker with recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zhang Mingyang is on a three-fight win streak with 12 straight first-round knockouts, demonstrating elite finishing ability and durability. Johnny Walker is coming off a two-fight skid with inconsistent recent form and has been knocked out multiple times in his career.
  • No known previous matchups between Johnny Walker and Zhang Mingyang.
  • No reported current injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Shanghai, providing Zhang the advantage of fighting in front of his home crowd, which may boost his motivation and performance.
  • Zhang has strong motivation fueled by home support and a desire to continue his impressive knockout streak. Walker looks to snap his losing streak but has shown vulnerability to precise, technical strikers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Johnny Walker: 285, Zhang Mingyang: -360 Zhang Mingyang ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Johnny Walker -5.5: 300, Zhang Mingyang +5.5: -450 Zhang Mingyang +5.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5: 230, Under 1.5: -315 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zhang Mingyang -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zhang Mingyang to win by first-round KO

Predicted Score: Zhang Mingyang wins by 1st round TKO/KO


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Brian Ortega vs. Aljamain Sterling Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

The matchup features Brian Ortega and Aljamain Sterling in a highly anticipated featherweight UFC fight. Sterling is favored due to his championship experience and superior wrestling, while Ortega is known for his creativity and durability. The fight is scheduled for five rounds, favoring strategic grappling control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sterling has a strong recent form with a 24-5 record and a four-fight winning streak, showing strong control in grappling and cage dominance. Ortega, with a 16-4 record, is a tough competitor but has struggled against elite wrestlers lately.
  • They have not previously fought each other, but stylistic matchup analysis favors Sterling's wrestling and ground control over Ortega's creative striking and submission attempts.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in full health for the bout.
  • Fighting in Shanghai might pose travel and acclimatization challenges but both fighters are professionals likely to have prepared adequately.
  • Sterling, as a reigning or former champion, has high motivation to maintain or regain status. Ortega is highly motivated to upset the favorite to reclaim spotlight and ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aljamain Sterling: -278, Brian Ortega: +225 Aljamain Sterling ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Aljamain Sterling: -5.5 -110, Brian Ortega: +5.5 -120 Aljamain Sterling -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over: 4.5 -220, Under: 4.5 +170 Under 4.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aljamain Sterling -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 76%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aljamain Sterling to win by decision, controlling the fight through wrestling and grappling, neutralizing Ortega's offense.

Predicted Score: Aljamain Sterling wins by unanimous decision, fight lasting 4 rounds


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Sergey Pavlovich vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sergey Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium

Game Overview

Sergey Pavlovich, a heavy striker with a powerful knockout record, faces Waldo Cortes-Acosta, a taller heavyweight with a strong reach advantage and an impressive 14-1 record. Pavlovich's experience and finishing ability position him as the favorite, while Cortes-Acosta poses a technical challenge with his sit-and-move style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pavlovich has a 19-3 record with multiple recent knockouts showing peak form, while Cortes-Acosta is 14-1 with only one loss but less finishing power. Recent form favors Pavlovich given his finishing pace and durability.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups exist between the two fighters, increasing uncertainty but emphasizing reliance on style and trends.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The fight takes place at a neutral venue (Shanghai), minimizing travel advantage. Pavlovich’s camp is known for high-level strategy and conditioning.
  • Pavlovich is motivated to maintain his status as a top contender in the heavyweight division, while Cortes-Acosta looks to make a breakthrough by defeating a high-profile opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -245, away: 200 Sergey Pavlovich ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -150, away: 110 Sergey Pavlovich -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -175, under: 135 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sergey Pavlovich -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 60%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 60% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergey Pavlovich to win by knockout within 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Pavlovich wins by KO in round 1


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Su Mudaerji vs. Kevin Borjas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 10:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

Su Mudaerji, a seasoned UFC fighter with striking precision and reach advantage, faces Kevin Borjas who is making his UFC debut. Mudaerji's experience in the octagon and technical style gives him a significant edge, but Borjas' unpredictability and potential motivation as a debutant make this intriguing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Su Mudaerji has consistently demonstrated superior striking and fight IQ in recent UFC bouts, while Kevin Borjas lacks UFC experience, which may impact his composure and fight management.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas as this is Borjas’ UFC debut.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both are fully fit ahead of the bout.
  • Fight venue is neutral with no apparent external influences such as home crowd advantage; weather and travel impacts are minimal.
  • Borjas is highly motivated making his UFC debut and may push aggressively, while Mudaerji is motivated to maintain his UFC standing and capitalize on the favorable matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Su Mudaerji -166, Kevin Borjas +140 Su Mudaerji ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Su Mudaerji -3.5 140, Kevin Borjas +3.5 -195 Su Mudaerji -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -270, Under 2.5 200 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Su Mudaerji -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 80%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 80% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Mudaerji to win by moneyline.

Predicted Score: Su Mudaerji wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds


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Taiyilake Nueraji vs. Kiefer Crosbie Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night

Game Overview

Taiyilake Nueraji is favored strongly due to superior agility and striking speed, while Kiefer Crosbie brings resilience and a strong ground game. Nueraji likely aims to keep the fight standing, whereas Crosbie's best chance lies in takedowns and ground control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nueraji has shown consistent form with improvements in striking and footwork, recently opening as -330 and moving towards -440, signaling confidence from sharp money. Crosbie remains a +340 underdog, indicating lower recent performance metrics.
  • No recorded head-to-head fights; this is their first matchup, so style clash analysis is key.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy coming into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in a neutral UFC venue with no apparent external distractions or altitude concerns. Both fighters motivated by career progression.
  • Nueraji benefits from a desire to confirm status as a top contender with speed and striking fundamentals shining. Crosbie motivated to prove ground game efficacy against a high-level striker.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taiyilake Nueraji: -440, Kiefer Crosbie: +340 Taiyilake Nueraji ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Taiyilake Nueraji: -3.5 -370, Kiefer Crosbie: +3.5 250 Taiyilake Nueraji -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: +145, Under 1.5: -188 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Taiyilake Nueraji -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Taiyilake Nueraji to win on the moneyline, and cover the -3.5 round spread, with the fight likely going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Taiyilake Nueraji wins by TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2


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Hayisaer Maheshate vs. Gauge Young Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hayisaer Maheshate vs Gauge Young – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

A closely matched lightweight MMA bout featuring Hayisaer Maheshate's defensive grappling and boxing versus Gauge Young's aggressive striking and power. Both fighters have shown solid form recently, making this a competitive and tactical fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gauge Young has shown aggressive striking and finishing ability, while Maheshate exhibits strong defensive skills and durability. Recent form indicates balanced momentum with neither fighter dominating.
  • No direct past meetings between the two, making this a fresh tactical matchup without prior psychological advantage.
  • No reported injuries or notable physical issues for either fighter entering the bout, indicating both should perform near peak.
  • Neutral venue and typical preparation conditions; no external disturbances or advantages reported.
  • Both fighters motivated to make statement wins; Young looking to confirm his favored status, Maheshate aiming to upset the odds and prove his tactical skills.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gauge Young: -110, Hayisaer Maheshate: -110 Gauge Young ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Gauge Young -1.5 (-110) Gauge Young -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under Over 2.5 -165, Under 2.5 +135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gauge Young -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gauge Young to win via decision

Predicted Score: Gauge Young wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Charles Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Prelims, Flyweight Division (Venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Lone'er Kavanagh and Charles Johnson face off in a UFC prelims Flyweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Kavanagh with precise striking and Johnson with strong submission grappling. Both fighters have solid records and recent form suggests Kavanagh's stand-up edge may outweigh Johnson's ground threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kavanagh holds a slight recent form advantage with more dominant striking performances and better odds movement favoring him. Johnson is resilient with multiple submission wins but has shown less consistency in recent UFC bouts.
  • No prior recorded H2H matchups. Styles suggest Kavanagh aims to keep fight standing while Johnson seeks ground opportunities.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place during UFC prelims with standard environment and no known disruptions. Both fighters motivated to improve rankings.
  • Kavanagh appears more motivated given recent odds improvements and striking confidence. Johnson will rely on experience but is underdog psychologically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -205, away: 170 Lone'er Kavanagh ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -120, away: 100 Lone'er Kavanagh -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -395, under: 280 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lone'er Kavanagh -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 128%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lone'er Kavanagh to win by decision

Predicted Score: Decision win for Lone'er Kavanagh after 3 rounds


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Zhu Rong vs. Austin Hubbard Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zhu Rong vs Austin Hubbard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:50 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event – Venue TBA

Game Overview

This UFC lightweight matchup features Zhu Rong, a strong favorite with superior striking power, facing Austin Hubbard, a durable and adaptable striker with solid recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zhu Rong has shown consistent dominance recently, opening at -350 and closing near -252, reflecting solid market confidence. Rong has KO potential and ability to finish fights early. Hubbard remains credible with toughness and pace management but has not displayed same finishing power.
  • No prior head-to-head exists between Zhu Rong and Austin Hubbard, placing emphasis on current form and styles rather than direct matchup data.
  • No reported injuries or visible physical disadvantages for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight environment is neutral; both fighters are equally motivated with no travel or home advantage. Betting markets show movement favoring Zhu Rong.
  • Zhu Rong looks motivated to solidify his top contender status with a statement win. Hubbard aims to maintain UFC relevance but is a clear underdog, which may affect psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zhu Rong -252, Austin Hubbard +212 Zhu Rong ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 rounds for Zhu Rong -120, +1.5 rounds for Austin Hubbard +100 Zhu Rong -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -245, Under 2.5 rounds +195 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zhu Rong 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 83%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zhu Rong to win via moneyline, fight to go under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Zhu Rong wins by KO/TKO round 2


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Michel Pereira vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: To Be Announced (UFC Event)

Game Overview

Michel Pereira, an explosive and unpredictable striker, faces Kyle Daukaus, a grappling specialist with strong ground control and submission skills. The matchup is a classic striker versus grappler dynamic with Pereira favored but Daukaus posing a significant submission threat if he can implement his game plan.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pereira has demonstrated dynamic striking with knockout power and momentum in recent fights. Daukaus has a solid 11-4 record, excels in submissions (9 of 11 wins), and has shown patient wrestling to neutralize aggressive opponents.
  • No previous direct matchups between Pereira and Daukaus, making tactical adaptation key.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in hostile territory favoring Pereira; crowd support may boost his confidence and aggression.
  • Pereira aims to secure a high-profile finish to advance his UFC standing; Daukaus seeks to break through the division by overcoming a favored striker with his grappling approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Micah Pereira: -260, Kyle Daukaus: +220 Michel Pereira ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Michel Pereira -1.5: +150, Kyle Daukaus +1.5: -180 Michel Pereira -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -185, Under 1.5 rounds: +155 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michel Pereira 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michel Pereira at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michel Pereira to win via knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Michel Pereira wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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