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Uran Satybaldiev vs. Diyar Nurgozhay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA bout between Uran Satybaldiev and Diyar Nurgozhay on UFC Fight Night preliminary card. Satybaldiev is a favorite for his striking and takedown defense, while Nurgozhay poses a threat with perfect takedown accuracy and a strong finishing rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Satybaldiev comes in with superior recent form, showing consistent control and defense, whereas Nurgozhay has high finishing capability but is less consistent against strong strikers.
  • No prior head-to-head fights available, requiring reliance on stylistic matchup and past performances.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight taking place at a neutral site; both fighters are from Central Asia, minimizing travel disadvantage. Early morning time may slightly favor the more disciplined and conditioned athlete, Satybaldiev.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish dominance early on UFC Fight Night prelim card, but Satybaldiev's role as a favorite adds pressure and incentive to maintain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Uran Satybaldiev: -156, Diyar Nurgozhay: +136 Uran Satybaldiev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -163 for Uran Satybaldiev -1.5 rounds Uran Satybaldiev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Uran Satybaldiev -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uran Satybaldiev to win by decision

Predicted Score: Uran Satybaldiev wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Uran Satybaldiev vs. Diyar Nurgozhay Prediction

Match Analysis: Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 7:00 AM UTC Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China Game Overview Light heavyweight MMA bout between Uran Satybaldiev and Diyar Nurgozhay on UFC Fight Night preliminary card. Satybaldiev is a favorite for his striking and takedown defense, while Nurgozhay […]

August 23, 2025 Diyar Nurgozhay MMA/Boxing Uran Satybaldiev

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Michael Reyes vs. Adrian Garcia Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Reyes vs Adrian Garcia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 215, Ventura, California

Game Overview

Michael Reyes meets Adrian Garcia at LFA 215 in a bantamweight MMA bout, with Garcia favored on the moneyline but Reyes offering value given his recent improvements and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adrian Garcia enters favored at -250 based on solid recent form and finishing ability. Michael Reyes has shown resilience and tactical evolution, with improved striking defense in his last three outings.
  • No recorded previous encounter between Reyes and Garcia, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • Neither fighter reports recent injuries or significant layoffs, both competing in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place in Ventura, California, neutral venue favoring no fighter by location. No reported external disruptions.
  • Both fighters aim to climb the ranks with a high-profile win; Garcia may have added pressure as the favorite while Reyes possesses underdog motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adrian Garcia: -250, Michael Reyes: 210 Adrian Garcia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Adrian Garcia -1.5: -130, Michael Reyes +1.5: 110 Adrian Garcia -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: 160 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adrian Garcia -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 61%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 61% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adrian Garcia to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Adrian Garcia wins by decision or finish before round 3


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Chris Mecate vs. Erick Visconde Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Mecate vs Erick Visconde – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA Event Venue (location not specified)

Game Overview

Chris Mecate faces Erick Visconde in an LFA MMA bout with close moneyline odds, suggesting a competitive matchup. Both fighters have had recent activity with slight market fluctuations favoring Visconde.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erick Visconde holds a slight edge in recent form with consistent performances and favored odds throughout the year, while Chris Mecate is perceived as an underdog but has shown resilience and potential for an upset.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between Chris Mecate and Erick Visconde.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both enter the cage at full health.
  • No notable external factors such as travel issues or environmental conditions reported; standard LFA event conditions.
  • Both fighters motivated to secure a significant win in LFA to advance their careers, with Visconde slightly favored to capitalize on momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Mecate: -105, Erick Visconde: -115 Erick Visconde ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chris Mecate -1.5: +140, Erick Visconde -1.5: -160 Erick Visconde -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erick Visconde -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erick Visconde to win on the moneyline.

Predicted Score: Erick Visconde wins via decision or late finish before round 3


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Shuya Kamikubo vs. Eric Shelton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shuya Kamikubo vs Eric Shelton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Shuya Kamikubo, fighting at bantamweight, faces Eric Shelton, a flyweight, in a competitive bout. Kamikubo holds a recent winning streak and slight weight advantage, while Shelton benefits from home country support but faces possible pressure. Both fighters have a balanced skill set with comparable KO, submission, and decision rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kamikubo has a current winning streak and a slight weight advantage (61 kg vs. 56 kg). Shelton has a short winning streak but is fighting at home with moral advantages and potential judging bias.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head fights available; match based on comparative recent form and style.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Shelton fights in home country (USA) which may bring biased judging and moral support; Kamikubo is a guest fighter possibly facing pressure from travel and environment.
  • Kamikubo motivated to extend winning streak and prove himself internationally; Shelton motivated to capitalize on home advantage and break into higher profile rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kamikubo: -155, Shelton: +135 Kamikubo ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -145, Under 2.5 rounds +115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eric Shelton -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shuya Kamikubo to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Kamikubo wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jake Woodley vs. Trent Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Woodley vs Trent Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Jake Woodley faces Trent Miller at LFA 215 in Ventura with Woodley opening as a -139 favorite vs. Miller at +102. Both fighters bring solid experience, but recent form and odds favor Woodley slightly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Woodley has demonstrated steady performance with recent wins, showing resilience and finishing ability. Miller has been inconsistent with fewer notable recent victories.
  • No direct previous bouts have been recorded between Woodley and Miller, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports have been indicated for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight taking place in Ventura, CA, could provide a slight advantage for Woodley due to crowd support and familiarity with local conditions.
  • Woodley is motivated to continue ascending the LFA rankings and securing UFC attention, while Miller is arguably less consistent in motivation and recent output.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -139 / +102 Jake Woodley ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Woodley -1.5 (-110), Miller +1.5 (-110) Woodley -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-105), Under 2.5 rounds (-115) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Woodley to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Jake Woodley wins via 3rd round TKO


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Arnold Jimenez vs. Rafael do Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Arnold Jimenez vs Rafael do Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) event, Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Arnold Jimenez (12-3) faces Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) in a competitive Legacy Fighting Alliance matchup. Rafael is the betting favorite with strong recent form and more consistent wins, while Jimenez has shown resilience and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento holds a recent edge with steady victories and superior finishing rates. Jimenez has been competitive but with more recent losses against higher-tier opponents.
  • No prior recorded fights between Arnold Jimenez and Rafael do Nascimento, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports on either fighter; both are expected to be at full strength.
  • Fight takes place in Lemoore, California, neutral ground with no discernible home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated; Rafael looks to solidify his rising status, while Arnold aims to prove he can compete against top-tier opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +185, away: -275 Rafael do Nascimento ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +1.5 (-150), away: -1.5 (+130) Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rafael do Nascimento at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael do Nascimento to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins by submission in round 2


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Eduardo Henrique vs. Devon Lozej Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eduardo Henrique vs Devon Lozej – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (likely LFA event)

Game Overview

Flyweight bout featuring current champion Eduardo Henrique da Silva against contender Devon Lozej. Henrique is favored on the moneyline with -220 odds, indicating strong bookmaker confidence in his ability to win. Lozej is the underdog at +155 but has a solid recent form in the LFA circuit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eduardo Henrique, as the reigning champion, has demonstrated consistent performance and finishing ability in his recent fights. Devon Lozej has shown durability and competitiveness but fewer finishes compared to Henrique.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head matchups between Eduardo Henrique and Devon Lozej.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight scheduled within LFA promotion, which should provide a neutral venue environment. No known external distractions or factors impacting either fighter.
  • Eduardo Henrique motivated to defend his title and maintain champion status. Devon Lozej motivated to capture the belt and prove himself, which could drive an aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique: -220, Devon Lozej: +155 Eduardo Henrique ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds: -120, Devon Lozej +1.5 rounds: +100 Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Eduardo Henrique at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eduardo Henrique to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique wins by submission in Round 2


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Richie Miranda vs. Ilay Barzilay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Richie Miranda vs Ilay Barzilay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura County Fairgrounds, Ventura, California

Game Overview

Lightweight title defense match at LFA 215 between Richie Miranda (11-1), the reigning champion known for strong grappling, and Ilay Barzilay, an undefeated contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miranda has shown consistent dominance with a grappling-heavy style, recently defending his title successfully. Barzilay remains undefeated, exhibiting strong striking and steady improvement.
  • No prior fights between Miranda and Barzilay; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, both appear in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue with both having equal travel demands; no reported issues affecting preparations.
  • Miranda highly motivated to maintain championship status and prove superiority; Barzilay motivated to claim first major title and remain undefeated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Richie Miranda: -200, Ilay Barzilay: +150 Richie Miranda ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Richie Miranda -1.5: -115, Ilay Barzilay +1.5: -105 Richie Miranda -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds: -120, Under 2.5 Rounds: +100 Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richie Miranda -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richie Miranda at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richie Miranda to win via decision

Predicted Score: Miranda wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Namsrai Batbayar vs. Agulali Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Namsrai Batbayar vs Agulali – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Road to UFC: Shanghai (Venue TBA)

Game Overview

A flyweight three-round semifinal bout between Namsrai Batbayar and Agulali at 125 pounds, part of the Road to UFC Season 4 Shanghai event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Agulali has shown consistent recent form with strong finishes, favored by bookmakers at around -205/-220 moneyline odds, while Namsrai Batbayar is an underdog currently priced around +165/+163, indicating a perceived gap in competitiveness.
  • No documented previous head-to-head encounters found, making direct matchup history unavailable to impact prediction.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both enter in full health.
  • The fight is a high-stakes Road to UFC semifinal, enhancing motivation and pressure; held in Shanghai, which should be neutral ground for both fighters.
  • Agulali’s slight favorite status suggests higher momentum and betting support, possibly reflecting stronger recent tournament performance or better adaptation to the UFC pathway.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Agulali -205 / Namsrai Batbayar +165 Agulali ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread No official spread available; implied line favors Agulali by approximately 1 round or more Agulali by decision or finish (spread equivalent) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds +108 / Under 2.5 rounds -142 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Agulali -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Agulali at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Agulali to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Agulali wins by late stoppage or unanimous decision, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds


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Kaiwen Li vs. Keiichiro Nakamura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kaiwen Li vs Keiichiro Nakamura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai

Game Overview

The matchup between Kaiwen Li and Keiichiro Nakamura is set to take place at Road to UFC: Shanghai. Both fighters are vying for a crucial victory in their careers. There is no recent head-to-head data between them, but external factors such as motivation and recent form will likely influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form is crucial, but specific details about both fighters' current performance are not available.
  • No head-to-head data is available between Kaiwen Li and Keiichiro Nakamura.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event's significance and the fighters' motivations could impact their performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as this event is part of the Road to UFC series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kaiwen Li +125, Keiichiro Nakamura -155 Keiichiro Nakamura ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Keiichiro Nakamura -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Keiichiro Nakamura at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Keiichiro Nakamura is favored to win by decision.

Predicted Score: N/A


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