Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Alavés – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville
Game Overview
Real Betis hosts Alavés in a La Liga match where Betis is favored due to superior recent form and home advantage, while Alavés seeks to build on a positive start to the season despite their weaker away record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Betis finished 6th last season with Europa League qualification and had mixed pre-season results. Alavés finished 15th but started this season with unbeaten runs and a win in their opener despite weaker overall season form.
- Recent H2H shows Real Betis generally stronger, though Alavés secured a notable 3-1 away win at Benito Villamarín last January, illustrating some vulnerability of Betis at home.
- No major injury reports impacting starting lineups for either side have been noted, suggesting both teams will field close to full-strength squads.
- Playing at home benefits Real Betis, who historically perform better at Benito Villamarín; Alavés has struggled on the road with nine away defeats last season.
- Betis is motivated to capitalize on home advantage after a draw away in the opener, aiming for three points to maintain a strong start. Alavés rides confidence from recent positive results but faces pressure to upset the odds away.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Alavés: +350, Real Betis: -121, Draw: +255 | Real Betis | ★★★★☆ 73% |
Spread | Alavés +50: +102, Real Betis -0.5: -122 | Real Betis -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Betis 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Real Betis win; Spread: Real Betis -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: Real Betis 1-0 Alavés