Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 11:36 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees in a critical AL East matchup. The Rays are slightly underperforming this season at 61-65 but have a stronger pitching edge with Drew Rasmussen (2.60 ERA). The Yankees (68-57) are coming off a dominant 13-3 win with strong offense led by Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger, starting Cam Schlittler (3.94 ERA).
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees are on a hot streak, winning six of their last seven games with dominant offensive output and solid pitching. Rays have an edge on starting pitching but have struggled for consistency this season.
- Recent meetings favor the Yankees with a strong offensive showing in their last game (13-3 win) and momentum in the series.
- No major injuries reported impacting the starting lineups for either team.
- Game played at Yankeesβ home ballpark in Tampa, potentially giving Rays moderate home advantage.
- Yankees pushing to maintain a strong playoff position in a competitive AL East; Rays fighting to improve their standing despite a losing record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees: -102, Tampa Bay Rays: -116 | New York Yankees | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | New York Yankees: -1.5 +158, Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 -192 | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -118, Under 8.5: -104 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take the New York Yankees moneyline, as their current form and offensive firepower outweigh the Rays' pitching edge.
Predicted Score: Yankees 6 – Rays 4