Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 7:40 PM UTC
- Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Cleveland Guardians in the final game of their regular season series. Both teams are close in standings and are motivated by Wild Card implications. Starting pitchers are Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona and rookie Parker Messick for Cleveland, making his MLB debut.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona holds a 61-66 record while Cleveland is 64-61. Arizona has been solid at home in the second half (8-6), while Cleveland has been strong on the road recently (7-4). Both teams have struggled somewhat lately with similar recent records around 1-4 over the last 5 games.
- Arizona has dominated recent matchups, winning 6 of their last 8 encounters against Cleveland. They recently won the previous game in this series 6-5.
- No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team ahead of this game.
- Game is played at Arizona's Chase Field under normal conditions. No adverse weather or travel factors reported. Pitching matchup is a key external factor: Clevelandβs rookie Messick vs Arizonaβs Pfaadt.
- Both teams are fighting for Wild Card positioning with this game deciding the series winner, adding stakes and motivation on both sides. Arizona favored to leverage home advantage and pitching experience.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona -116 / Cleveland +105 | Arizona Diamondbacks | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Arizona -1.5 +166 / Cleveland +1.5 -191 | Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 -108 / Under 9 -112 | Over 9 runs | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks to win on moneyline, cover -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9 total runs
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6 - Cleveland Guardians 4
This Pick Releases in 4 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!