Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Colorado Rockies in the final game of a four-game MLB series. The Diamondbacks are favored on the moneyline and spread, while the total runs line is set at 12.5. Both teams have shown offensive strength recently, but Coloradoβs pitching remains weak, and Coors Field is a hitter-friendly park.
Key Factors to Consider
- Diamondbacks hold a 60-64 season record with moderate recent form, winning 51.4% of games as favorites. Rockies struggle with a 34-89 record, but recently won the last game in the series, boosting morale.
- This series has been competitive, with Rockies leading 2-1 so far. Arizona is heavily favored on the road historically and in implied probabilities.
- No significant injury reports impacting the starting lineup or pitching staff for either team available.
- The game is played at Coors Field, a high-altitude venue known for increasing offensive output and run totals.
- Diamondbacks appear motivated to salvage the series and keep wild card hopes alive. Rockies aim to spoil the favorite on home turf.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks: -138, Colorado Rockies: +118 | Arizona Diamondbacks | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5: +104, Colorado Rockies +1.5: -125 | Colorado Rockies +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 12.5: -122, Under 12.5: +100 | Over 12.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 12.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Arizona Diamondbacks to win; Spread: Rockies +1.5; Over/Under: Over 12.5 runs
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 7 – Colorado Rockies 6