Match Analysis: Rennes vs RC Lens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Roazhon Park, Rennes
Game Overview
This Ligue 1 match features Rennes hosting RC Lens at Roazhon Park. Both teams demonstrate competitive form with close historical encounters, Lens being particularly strong away and undefeated against Rennes in their last 10 meetings. Rennes have solid home performance and slightly better long-term head-to-head records, but Lens appears in better recent form with consistent away wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rennes is unbeaten at home this season with a mixed but defensively solid form overall. They have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches and rely on key players like Mohamed Meite with high shots on target. Lens shows stronger league form, especially away, having won one away game recently and scoring 8 goals in last 5 matches. Lens also hasn't lost to Rennes in their last 10 meetings, with 5 wins and 5 draws.
- Overall, in 24 past meetings Rennes won 8 times, Lens 6 times, and 10 draws have occurred. Since 2022, Lens and Rennes played 6 matches with Lens winning 3 and 3 draws, no losses. Lens dominated recent encounters, particularly away matches. Recent H2H also indicates Lens dominance by not losing in the last 10 matches with Rennes including 5 wins and 5 draws.
- No up-to-date injury information is provided in the available data sources, suggesting a lack of major absences affecting either side. This implies both teams are likely close to full squad strength.
- The match is played at Rennesβ home ground, Roazhon Park, which has historically been a fortress for Rennes. Weather and pitch conditions are unknown but no reported external disruptions exist. The kickoff is at 18:45 UTC on September 28, 2025, allowing adequate rest and preparation for both teams.
- Rennes seeks to maintain its unbeaten home record and improve their standing, relying on key attackers and defensive organization. Lens aims to continue their unbeaten streak in this fixture and capitalize on their recent good away form and overall league momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | RC Lens: 171, Rennes: 146, Draw: 245 | Draw or RC Lens win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | RC Lens: 0 @ +100, Rennes: 0 @ -120 | Lens +0 (draw no bet) is favorable | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | RC Lens 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Lens' strong recent form and unbeaten head-to-head record against Rennes, combined with Rennes' solid home form but mixed recent results, a narrow Lens win or draw is most probable. The match is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring opportunities and tight defense from both sides.
Predicted Score: 1-1