Match Analysis: Angers vs Brest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Home stadium of Angers
Game Overview
The upcoming Ligue 1 match between Angers and Brest pits two mid-lower table teams with contrasting recent forms and historical head-to-head results. Angers currently holds 13th place in the league but has struggled with scoring and maintaining winning momentum, while Brest has been relatively stronger offensively but poorer defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angers has a low average goals scored (0.6) and a relatively tight defense allowing 0.8 goals on average. They have one longest winning run and one longest losing streak of three. Brest scores more (1.8 average goals) but concedes more as well (2.2 goals on average) with a longer losing streak of three. Brest tends to have higher goal-scoring matches with 4 out of their last games going over 2.25 goals, whereas Angers' matches mostly fall under that.
- Historically, Brest leads the head-to-head with 13 wins versus Angers' 6 out of 24 games since 2004. In recent clashes, Brest has dominated, winning 4 out of 5 games since 2022, including a significant 4-0 away win. However, Angers recently won the latest match 2-0, possibly indicating some regained confidence.
- No specific injury data is provided in the available information for either team ahead of this match.
- No reported external factors such as weather, crowd impact, or extraordinary events are affecting the match conditions as of now.
- Given their league positions and recent results, Brest likely seek to solidify a better standing by continuing their positive run against Angers, whereas Angers aim to leverage home advantage and recent victory to break Brestβs dominance and gain vital points.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angers: 193, Brest: 138, Draw: 230 | Draw | β β β ββ 50% |
| Spread | Angers: -0.25 -128, Brest: +25 108 | Brest -0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -102, Under: 2.5 -118 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brest 63% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Brest at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match expected with slight advantage to Brest due to stronger recent performance and historical dominance, but Angersβ home form and recent win could lead to a draw or narrow win for either side.
Predicted Score: 1-1