Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Udinese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia, Italy
Game Overview
Sassuolo will play Udinese in the Serie A on September 28, 2025, at the Mapei Stadium. Sassuolo currently ranks 14th in the league while Udinese is positioned 9th. Sassuolo has scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, with Andrea Pinamonti being a key attacking player with 1.9 shots on target per match. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams seeking to improve their standings early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sassuolo, ranked lower at 14th, has been showing moderate attacking form, whereas Udinese holds a better position at 9th, indicating more consistent performances. Past 5 matches show Sassuolo scoring 4 goals total, suggesting a moderate scoring trend.
- Historically, the encounters between Sassuolo and Udinese have been balanced with no dominant side. Both teams have exchanged wins and draws in previous Serie A meetings, hinting at a fairly even matchup.
- No specific injury reports found for either team prior to this match, implying both squads are likely to field their strongest available lineups.
- Home advantage lies with Sassuolo as the match is at Mapei Stadium. No notable external factors such as weather or schedule congestion have been reported to influence the game notably.
- Udinese's higher league position may motivate them to maintain or improve their form away. Sassuolo, with a lower ranking, will be motivated to secure a home win to climb the table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sassuolo: 1.26, Udinese: 2.15, Draw: 2.4 | Sassuolo win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Sassuolo -0.25: -105, Udinese +25: -115 | Sassuolo -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sassuolo 40% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sassuolo at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match is expected with a slight edge to Sassuolo due to home advantage, but Udinese's recent form cannot be discounted. A draw or a narrow Sassuolo win is the likely result.
Predicted Score: 1-0