Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs BYU Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Folsom Field, Boulder, CO
Game Overview
The BYU Cougars (3-0) visit the Colorado Buffaloes (2-2) at Folsom Field on September 28, 2025. BYU enters the contest as a strong favorite, backed by a 6.5-point spread advantage and a moneyline of around -260. Colorado, struggling with a .500 record, faces a challenging matchup against an undefeated, high-performing BYU team. The over/under total has been set near 47.5 points, reflecting anticipated moderate scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU is undefeated at 3-0, showcasing strong offensive and defensive execution, contributing to substantial favorites status. Colorado has a middling 2-2 record, with inconsistency evident in recent performances. BYUโs offense is expected to dominate, while Coloradoโs defense faces pressure to contain BYUโs scoring.
- Recent head-to-head history favors BYU with multiple wins in previous matchups. Colorado has struggled to keep up, particularly when playing on the road or against higher-ranked opponents like BYU.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters critically, suggesting both teams will compete near full strength.
- The game will be played at Coloradoโs home stadium, Folsom Field, with favorable weather conditions expected (64ยฐF, low chance of rain). Travel fatigue potentially influences BYU but is mitigated by their roster depth and preparation.
- BYU aims to preserve an undefeated record and solidify their ranking early in the season, providing high motivation and confidence. Colorado looks to even their record and make a statement at home, adding urgency but facing a psychological disadvantage against a dominant BYU squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars: -260, Colorado Buffaloes: +205 | BYU Cougars | โ โ โ โ โ 82% |
| Spread | BYU Cougars -6.5: -115, Colorado Buffaloes +6.5: -105 | BYU Covers -6.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -105 | Over 47.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 47.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BYU is expected to win convincingly by covering the spread due to superior team performance, clean injury status, and motivational edge.
Predicted Score: BYU Cougars 35 – Colorado Buffaloes 24