Match Analysis: Stanford Cardinal vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Game Overview
The Stanford Cardinal will host the San Jose State Spartans in a traditional local rivalry game dubbed the Bill Walsh Legacy Game. Stanford enters with a 1-3 record after a heavy 48-20 loss to Virginia, seeking redemption and to improve after initial ACC struggles. San Jose State is 1-2, having picked up a close win over Idaho but lost decisively to Texas recently. The game marks a regional rivalry renewal after many years, with Stanford favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stanford's offense features emerging big-play threats like Bryce Farrell and CJ Williams, who have delivered significant receiving yardage bursts recently. Despite this, Stanford's defense struggled in their last game allowing 48 points. San Jose State has shown resilience with a close win versus Idaho but was dominated 38-7 by Texas. Both teams have inconsistent starts, with Stanfordโs offense showing more explosive potential.
- This rivalry was played regularly from 1948 to 2013, with Stanford historically having the upper hand. The last meeting was last season's finale where Stanford had multiple receivers over 100 yards, indicating competitive recent matchups. The Bill Walsh Legacy Game adds historical and emotional weight.
- No specific injury reports are available from recent sources for either team that would significantly alter lineup strength.
- The game is at Stanford Stadium giving the Cardinal home-field advantage. Weather and travel factors appear neutral. The cultural significance of the Bill Walsh Legacy Game likely motivates both teams intensely.
- Stanford is motivated to bounce back from a heavy ACC loss and uphold their legacy in this historic rivalry. San Jose State aims to prove themselves against a traditional power and build momentum amid a tough schedule start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans: +120, Stanford Cardinal: -142 | Stanford Cardinal Win | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Spread | San Jose State Spartans: 3 (-112), Stanford Cardinal: -3 (-108) | Stanford Cardinal -3 | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 49.5 (-115), Under: 49.5 (-105) | Under 49.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stanford Cardinal -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 7% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stanford Cardinal by 3 points. The Cardinal's home advantage, stronger offensive playmakers, and historical edge suggest a narrow but confident win over San Jose State.
Predicted Score: Stanford Cardinal 27 – San Jose State Spartans 24