Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
Game Overview
The undefeated No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) host the 3-0 Arizona Wildcats in a key Big 12 conference matchup. Iowa State enters as favorites with a strong home record, having recently defeated Arkansas State 24-16, while Arizona is coming off a win against Kansas State 23-17. The game is expected to be competitive but with Iowa State in control, especially given their perfect season start and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State is undefeated at 4-0, showing solid defensive and offensive performances, holding opponents to under 20 points in recent games. Arizona is also unbeaten at 3-0 but has not faced as strong competition, and their offense averages around 24 points per game, slightly less potent than Iowa State's.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but rankings and season momentum favor Iowa State. Past matchups have generally seen Iowa State with a slight edge, particularly at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups or key positions as of current data.
- The game is taking place at Jack Trice Stadium with home crowd support for Iowa State, likely influencing momentum. No major weather concerns have been reported for game day.
- Both teams are undefeated and highly motivated to maintain perfect records early in the Big 12 conference play, with Iowa State aiming to solidify its top-15 ranking and Arizona looking to establish itself as a contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: +188, Iowa State Cyclones: -230 | Iowa State Cyclones | โ โ โ โ โ 71% |
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats: 6.5 -115, Iowa State Cyclones: -6.5 -105 | Iowa State Cyclones to cover -6.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 48.5 -110, Under: 48.5 -110 | Under 48.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 48.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State is predicted to win this matchup, covering the spread and likely keeping total points near or just under the over/under line due to strong defensive play from both teams.
Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 27 – Arizona Wildcats 17