Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, Virginia
Game Overview
The Old Dominion Monarchs, with a 2-1 record, host the Liberty Flames, who come into the game with a 1-3 record. Old Dominion has shown strong performance so far, winning two consecutive games after an opening loss, while Liberty is on a 3-game losing streak. Being a home game for Old Dominion gives them an additional advantage in this matchup. The Monarchs play in the Sun Belt Conference and have a solid offense and defense demonstrated by recent large scoring wins. Liberty, competing in Conference USA, has struggled both offensively and defensively this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion is coming into this game with a winning momentum (2-1) including a strong offensive showing scoring 54 and 45 points in two wins, while Liberty has a 1-3 record and is on a three-game losing streak. Liberty has struggled to maintain consistent offensive production, scoring only 13 points in their last two games.
- There is no widely available recent direct head-to-head data for 2025, but historically Old Dominion has been competitive against Liberty, especially at home. Old Dominionโs home-field advantage and recent stronger performance give them the upper hand.
- No major injury reports are currently available for either team, indicating both should have their key players available for the matchup.
- The game being played at Old Dominion's home stadium provides a significant environmental advantage. Weather conditions for late September in Norfolk, Virginia, are typically mild and unlikely to affect gameplay.
- Old Dominion is motivated to extend their winning streak and establish dominance in their conference play. Liberty is motivated to rebound after three losses and avoid falling further behind in Conference USA standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty Flames: 490, Old Dominion Monarchs: -675 | Old Dominion Monarchs to win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Liberty Flames: -16.5 @ -112, Old Dominion Monarchs: +16.5 @ -108 | Old Dominion Monarchs to cover -16.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 80% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5: -112, Under 51.5: -108 | Over 51.5 total points | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 33% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion Monarchs are favored to win decisively due to superior recent performance, home advantage, and stronger team stats.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 42 – Liberty Flames 21