Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, Illinois
Game Overview
The Northern Illinois Huskies (1-2) will face the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) in an American college football matchup at Huskie Stadium. The game pits a Huskies team looking to rebound after two losses in their last three games against the Aztecs who are coming off a win and demonstrate a stronger overall start to the 2025 season. This contest features contrasting team trajectories and styles, with the Aztecs favored but the Huskies motivated to secure a home upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego State arrives with a 2-1 record showing improvement and currently on a one-game winning streak, having won their last game away. Northern Illinois stands at 1-2 with losses in two of three games and is coming off a defeat on the road. The Aztecs have exhibited more consistent offensive and defensive execution, while the Huskies have struggled against stronger opponents.
- Recent historical data shows limited high-profile matchups between these teams, but the 2021 MAC Championship Game noted in previews suggests competitive games when they meet. No dominant head-to-head advantage is clear; however, San Diego State's stronger current form gives them an edge.
- No specific injury reports for key players on either team have been found in the available data, implying relatively healthy squads for the matchup.
- The game is played at Huskie Stadium, granting Northern Illinois home-field advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not specifically noted but should be typical late-September Midwest conditions.
- Northern Illinois is highly motivated to upset a favored San Diego State team at home to improve their early season record. San Diego State aims to continue momentum and strengthen their winning record to position themselves well in Mountain West conference play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Illinois Huskies: +110, San Diego State Aztecs: -130 | San Diego State Aztecs to win | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | Northern Illinois Huskies: +2.5 at -112, San Diego State Aztecs: -2.5 at -108 | San Diego State to cover -2.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 43.5: -110, Under 43.5: -110 | Over 43.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 43.5 3% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State Aztecs are favored to win due to better form and odds, but the Huskies' home advantage and motivation could keep the game competitive. Expect a close game with a slight San Diego State victory.
Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Northern Illinois Huskies 20