Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Lindenwood Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio
Game Overview
The Miami (OH) RedHawks will host the Lindenwood Lions on September 27, 2025, at Yager Stadium. Miami (OH) is an FBS program with a historically strong football tradition in the Mid-American Conference but is currently struggling this season with an 0-3 record. Lindenwood, transitioning to FBS but still considered an FCS-level program for 2025, holds a 2-2 record and is the underdog in this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) has started the season 0-3, losing to Wisconsin, Rutgers, and UNLV, while conceding high points (e.g., 41 points to UNLV). Lindenwood is 2-2, demonstrating competitive spirit but playing at a lower level overall. Miami's defense has had struggles this season, evident by the large number of points allowed, but the team has experienced players like Eli Blakey with strong defensive stats. The RedHawks offense also struggles to put up consistent wins despite good individual players such as QB Dequan Finn.
- There is no recorded recent head-to-head game data available as this is likely their first meeting given Lindenwood's recent steps toward FBS status.
- No significant injury reports or key player absences have been documented for either team ahead of the matchup as per available data.
- The game is played at Miami's home stadium, Yager Stadium, offering a home-field advantage. The game coincides with Miami's Homecoming and Mascot Day, which may boost home team motivation and crowd support. Weather and other external conditions are not reported to significantly impact the game.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks are motivated to secure their first win of the season and defend their home turf during Homecoming. Lindenwood aims to prove themselves at the FBS level and improve their record against a higher-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lindenwood Lions: 800, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -1400 | Miami (OH) RedHawks to win | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Spread | Lindenwood Lions: 20.5 -110, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -20.5 -110 | Miami (OH) RedHawks to cover -20.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 49.5 -110, Under: 49.5 -110 | Under 49.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawks are heavily favored due to superior league status (FBS vs FCS), home advantage, and stronger roster depth, despite recent poor results. Lindenwood may struggle to keep pace given the 20.5 point spread, but a strong offensive effort could keep the game competitive.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) RedHawks 35 – 10 Lindenwood Lions