Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium, Evanston, Illinois
Game Overview
The Northwestern Wildcats (1-2) host the UCLA Bruins (0-3) in a conference matchup. Northwestern is favored by 6.5 points with a total over/under set at 44.5. Both teams are coming off losses, Northwestern dropping 34-14 to Oregon, and UCLA losing 35-10 to New Mexico. Northwestern holds the home field advantage and better recent performance, while UCLA struggles early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northwestern is 1-2 this season but showed competitiveness against strong opponents, while UCLA is 0-3 and has struggled offensively and defensively, as shown in their last loss. Northwesternโs defense held Oregon to 34 points, but their offense scored only 14. UCLA's offense has only managed 10 points in their most recent game.
- Historically, UCLA holds a slight edge in the series with 3 wins to Northwestern's 2, with 1 draw. UCLA has a 2-1 home record against Northwestern, but Northwestern leads at home. The teams have measured competitive margins historically, but recent form favors Northwestern.
- No specific injury reports available from the current data, though ongoing monitoring is advised as no major absences were reported at this time.
- Home field advantage favors Northwestern playing at Martin Stadium. Weather conditions for the game day are typical for Evanston in late September with no recorded disruptions. The game will be broadcast on BTN and streamed on FOX Sports platforms.
- Northwestern seeks to improve their 1-2 record and establish early-season momentum at home. UCLA looks for their first win after an 0-3 start, making them motivated but under pressure as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern: -230, UCLA: 188 | Northwestern to win | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | over: 44.5, over_odds: -110, under_odds: -110 | Under 44.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats 99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Northwestern Wildcats at 99% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northwestern is favored to win, likely covering the 6.5-point spread given home advantage and superior recent form. The total points expected to be around or slightly under the 44.5 line due to both teamsโ offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Northwestern Wildcats 27 – 17 UCLA Bruins